Carlton vs St Kilda Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 8, 2026
Last updated: May 2, 2026, 9:30AM | Published: Apr 26, 2026, 9:25AM
Carlton will face St Kilda in AFL Round 8 action at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 7:35pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Carlton vs St Kilda game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Carlton vs St Kilda AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Saints a 60% chance of beating the Blues at Marvel Stadium.
Carlton vs St Kilda: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Carlton $2.35, St Kilda $1.60
- Line: Carlton +8.5 ($1.91), St Kilda -8.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 182.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Carlton at $2.35 and St Kilda at $1.60.
The Blues are listed as 8.5-point underdogs against the Saints, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Saints (-8.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 182.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Blues (+8.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 182.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.
Carlton vs St Kilda: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: St Kilda at $1.60 with Bet365
- Line: Carlton +8.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 182.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Carlton vs St Kilda best bets are based on complex simulations and wagering intelligence to give you the best possible advice 24/7.
Carlton vs St Kilda: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Carlton vs St Kilda at Marvel Stadium on Saturday is St Kilda winning 94-87.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Carlton vs St Kilda match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Carlton vs St Kilda: Goal Scorers
Looking for Carlton vs St Kilda goal kicker tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, St Kilda's Cooper Sharman is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Carlton vs St Kilda.
Sharman has an 8.8% chance of kicking the first goal at Marvel Stadium, while the Saints star has a 94.0% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Carlton
- Harry McKay: 7.3% probability
- Brodie Kemp: 5.4% probability
- Mitch McGovern: 5.1% probability
- Ben Ainsworth: 4.6% probability
- Will Hayward: 4.5% probability
St Kilda
- Cooper Sharman: 8.8% probability
- Mitch Owens: 7.5% probability
- Max Hall: 6.9% probability
- Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera: 4.6% probability
- Dan Butler: 4.5% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Carlton
- Harry McKay: 91.3% probability
- Brodie Kemp: 83.3% probability
- Mitch McGovern: 80.4% probability
- Will Hayward: 73.3% probability
- Francis Evans: 73.3% probability
St Kilda
- Cooper Sharman: 94.0% probability
- Mitch Owens: 91.3% probability
- Max Hall: 87.3% probability
- Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera: 78.2% probability
- Dan Butler: 78.2% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Carlton vs St Kilda match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Carlton vs St Kilda: Essential Details
The AFL Round 8 clash between the Blues and Saints at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:35pm AEST on Saturday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Carlton vs St Kilda predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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