Carlton vs Port Adelaide Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 23, 2025
Last updated: Aug 15, 2025, 11:46AM | Published: Aug 12, 2025, 5:21AM
Carlton will sqaure off with Port Adelaide in AFL Round 23 action at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, starting at 1:20pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Carlton vs Port Adelaide game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Carlton vs Port Adelaide AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Blues a 72% chance of beating the Power at Marvel Stadium.
Carlton vs Port Adelaide: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Carlton $1.45, Port Adelaide $2.75
- Line: Carlton -13.5 ($1.91), Port Adelaide +13.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 172.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Carlton at $1.45 and Port Adelaide at $2.75.
The Blues are listed as 13.5-point favourites against the Power, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Power (+13.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 172.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Blues (-13.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 172.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Carlton vs Port Adelaide: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Carlton at $1.45 with Bet365
- Line: Carlton -13.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 172.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Carlton vs Port Adelaide best bets are based on market-leading simulations and gambling experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Carlton vs Port Adelaide: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Carlton vs Port Adelaide at Marvel Stadium this Saturday is Carlton winning 93-78.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Carlton vs Port Adelaide match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Carlton vs Port Adelaide: Goal Scorers
Are you looking for Carlton vs Port Adelaide goal kicker tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, P Adelaide's Mitch Georgiades is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Carlton vs Port Adelaide.
Georgiades has a 9.6% chance of kicking the first goal at Marvel Stadium, while the Power star has a 94.9% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Carlton
- Harry McKay: 8.1% probability
- Ashton Moir: 5.9% probability
- Jesse Motlop: 4.7% probability
- Zac Williams: 4.6% probability
- Corey Durdin: 4.2% probability
Port Adelaide
- Mitch Georgiades: 9.6% probability
- Willie Rioli: 6.1% probability
- Joe Richards: 3.9% probability
- Darcy Byrne-Jones: 3.8% probability
- Ollie Lord: 3.4% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Carlton
- Harry McKay: 92.3% probability
- Ashton Moir: 82.9% probability
- Jesse Motlop: 75.1% probability
- Zac Williams: 74.2% probability
- Corey Durdin: 72.4% probability
Port Adelaide
- Mitch Georgiades: 94.9% probability
- Willie Rioli: 83.1% probability
- Joe Richards: 69.0% probability
- Darcy Byrne-Jones: 64.6% probability
- Ollie Lord: 62.7% probability
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Carlton vs Port Adelaide match.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Carlton vs Port Adelaide: Essential Details
The AFL Round 23 clash between the Blues and Power at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:20pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Carlton vs Port Adelaide
- Date: Saturday 16 August 2025
- Time: 1:20pm AEST
- Venue: Marvel Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Carlton vs Port Adelaide predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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