Carlton vs Hawthorn Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 18, 2026
Last updated: Jul 5, 2026, 4:35PM | Published: Jul 5, 2026, 8:25AM
Carlton will sqaure off with the favoured Hawthorn in AFL Round 18 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, commencing at 7:35pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Carlton vs Hawthorn game, along with the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Carlton vs Hawthorn AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Hawks a 63% chance of defeating the Blues at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Carlton vs Hawthorn: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed here:
- Head to Head: Carlton $2.90, Hawthorn $1.42
- Line: Carlton +15.5 ($1.91), Hawthorn -15.5 ($1.91)
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Carlton at $2.90 and Hawthorn at $1.42.
The Blues are 15.5-point underdogs against the Hawks, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Hawks (-15.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
Carlton vs Hawthorn: Betting Tips
If you see a 🔥, that means it's one of our best bets for today across all sports.
Stats Insider's Carlton vs Hawthorn betting tips are based on world-class simulations and betting intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Hawks have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Blues to win is our preferred option because of the 2.5% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to being a profitable bettor in the long run.
Carlton vs Hawthorn: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Carlton vs Hawthorn at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Saturday is Hawthorn winning 89-78.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Carlton vs Hawthorn match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live scorestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the Carlton vs Hawthorn game.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Carlton vs Hawthorn: Essential Details
The AFL Round 18 clash between the Blues and Hawks at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 7:35pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Carlton vs Hawthorn
- Date: Saturday 11 July 2026
- Time: 7:35pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Carlton vs Hawthorn predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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