Carlton vs Geelong Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 12, 2026
Last updated: May 24, 2026, 7:40PM | Published: May 24, 2026, 6:25AM
Carlton will take on the favoured Geelong in AFL Round 12 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday, starting at 7:40pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Carlton vs Geelong game, plus the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Carlton vs Geelong AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Cats a 71% chance of beating the Blues at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Carlton vs Geelong: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed here:
- Head to Head: Carlton $3.85, Geelong $1.27
- Line: Carlton +23.5 ($1.91), Geelong -23.5 ($1.91)
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Carlton at $3.85 and Geelong at $1.27.
The Blues are listed as 23.5-point underdogs against the Cats, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Cats (-23.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
Carlton vs Geelong: Betting Tips
When you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Stats Insider's best bets of the day across any sport.
Stats Insider's Carlton vs Geelong best bets are based on market-leading simulations and wagering expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Cats have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Blues to win is our recommended option because of the 3.1% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.
Carlton vs Geelong: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Carlton vs Geelong at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday is Geelong winning 93-75.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Carlton vs Geelong match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and live updatestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Carlton vs Geelong match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Carlton vs Geelong: Essential Details
The AFL Round 12 clash between the Blues and Cats at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 7:40pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Carlton vs Geelong
- Date: Friday 29 May 2026
- Time: 7:40pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Carlton vs Geelong predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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