Carlton vs Collingwood Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 6, 2026
Last updated: Apr 14, 2026, 9:21PM | Published: Apr 12, 2026, 10:25AM
Carlton will sqaure off with Collingwood in AFL Round 6 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday, starting at 7:30pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Carlton vs Collingwood game, plus the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Carlton vs Collingwood AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Magpies a 68% chance of defeating the Blues in Round 6 of the 2026 AFL season.
Carlton vs Collingwood: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown below:
- Head to Head: Carlton $2.60, Collingwood $1.50
- Line: Carlton +12.5 ($1.91), Collingwood -12.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 160.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Carlton at $2.60 and Collingwood at $1.50.
The Blues are 12.5-point underdogs against the Magpies, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Magpies (-12.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 160.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Magpies (-12.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 160.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Carlton vs Collingwood: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Collingwood at $1.50 with Bet365
- Line: Collingwood -12.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 160.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's Carlton vs Collingwood best bets are based on world-class modelling and wagering expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Carlton vs Collingwood: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Carlton vs Collingwood at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday is Collingwood winning 87-72.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Carlton vs Collingwood match on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and live updatestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Carlton vs Collingwood match.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Carlton vs Collingwood: Essential Details
The AFL Round 6 clash between the Blues and Magpies at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 7:30pm AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Carlton vs Collingwood
- Date: Thursday 16 April 2026
- Time: 7:30pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Carlton vs Collingwood predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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