Carlton vs Collingwood Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 6, 2026
Last updated: Apr 16, 2026, 9:33AM | Published: Apr 12, 2026, 10:25AM
Carlton will face Collingwood in AFL Round 6 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday, commencing at 7:30pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Carlton vs Collingwood game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Carlton vs Collingwood AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Magpies a 63% chance of defeating the Blues at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Carlton vs Collingwood: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown below:
- Head to Head: Carlton $2.50, Collingwood $1.54
- Line: Carlton +8.5 ($1.91), Collingwood -8.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 153.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Carlton at $2.50 and Collingwood at $1.54.
The Blues are 8.5-point underdogs against the Magpies, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Magpies (-8.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 153.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Magpies (-8.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 153.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 56% of the time.
Carlton vs Collingwood: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Collingwood at $1.54 with Bet365
- Line: Collingwood -8.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 153.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's Carlton vs Collingwood predictions are based on world-class modelling and wagering intelligence to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.
Carlton vs Collingwood: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Carlton vs Collingwood at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday is Collingwood prevailing 80-70.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Carlton vs Collingwood match on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the Carlton vs Collingwood match.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Carlton vs Collingwood: Essential Details
The AFL Round 6 clash between the Blues and Magpies at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 7:30pm AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Carlton vs Collingwood
- Date: Thursday 16 April 2026
- Time: 7:30pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Carlton vs Collingwood predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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