Carlton vs Collingwood Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 17, 2025
Last updated: Jul 4, 2025, 9:20AM | Published: Jun 30, 2025, 2:55AM
Carlton will face the favoured Collingwood in AFL Round 17 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday, commencing at 7:20pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Carlton vs Collingwood game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Carlton vs Collingwood AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Magpies a 79% chance of beating the Blues at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Carlton vs Collingwood: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed here:
- Head to Head: Carlton $4.50, Collingwood $1.22
- Line: Carlton +27.5 ($1.91), Collingwood -27.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 161.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Carlton at $4.50 and Collingwood at $1.22.
The Blues are listed as 27.5-point underdogs against the Magpies, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Magpies (-27.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 161.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Blues (+27.5) are predicted to cover the line 57% of the time, while the 161.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.
Carlton vs Collingwood: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Carlton at $4.50 with Bet365
- Line: Carlton +27.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 161.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best tips for today across any sport.
Stats Insider's Carlton vs Collingwood best bets are based on world-class simulations and betting intelligence to give you the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Magpies have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Blues to win is our preferred option because of the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.
Carlton vs Collingwood: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Carlton vs Collingwood at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday is Collingwood prevailing 91-68.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Carlton vs Collingwood match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Carlton vs Collingwood game.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Carlton vs Collingwood: Essential Details
The AFL Round 17 clash between the Blues and Magpies at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 7:20pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Carlton vs Collingwood
- Date: Friday 4 July 2025
- Time: 7:20pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Carlton vs Collingwood predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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