Carlton vs Collingwood Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 17, 2025
Last updated: Jul 1, 2025, 5:15AM | Published: Jun 30, 2025, 2:55AM
Carlton will take on the favoured Collingwood in AFL Round 17 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday, beginning at 7:20pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Carlton vs Collingwood game, along with the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Carlton vs Collingwood AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Magpies a 77% chance of winning against the Blues at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Carlton vs Collingwood: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown below:
- Head to Head: Carlton $4.50, Collingwood $1.21
- Line: Carlton +27.5 ($1.91), Collingwood -27.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 160.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Carlton at $4.50 and Collingwood at $1.21.
The Blues are listed as 27.5-point underdogs against the Magpies, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Magpies (-27.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 160.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Blues (+27.5) are predicted to cover the line 61% of the time, while the 160.5-point over/under is expected to go over 77% of the time.
Carlton vs Collingwood: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Carlton at $4.50 with Bet365
- Line: Carlton +27.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 160.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across all sports.
Our Carlton vs Collingwood best bets are based on world-class simulations and betting experience to provide you with the best possible advice 24/7/365.
While the Magpies have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Blues to win is our recommended option because of the 1.0% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.
Carlton vs Collingwood: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Carlton vs Collingwood at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday is Collingwood winning 97-78.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Carlton vs Collingwood match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Carlton vs Collingwood game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Carlton vs Collingwood: Essential Details
The AFL Round 17 clash between the Blues and Magpies at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 7:20pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Carlton vs Collingwood
- Date: Friday 4 July 2025
- Time: 7:20pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Carlton vs Collingwood predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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