Carlton vs Brisbane Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 21, 2026
Last updated: Jul 26, 2026, 4:10PM | Published: Jul 26, 2026, 7:30AM
Carlton will face the favoured Brisbane in AFL Round 21 action at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, starting at 7:40pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Carlton vs Brisbane game, plus the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Carlton vs Brisbane AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Lions a 71% chance of winning against the Blues in Round 21 of the 2026 AFL season.
Carlton vs Brisbane: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Carlton $4.00, Brisbane $1.25
- Line: Carlton +24.5 ($1.91), Brisbane -24.5 ($1.91)
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Carlton at $4.00 and Brisbane at $1.25.
The Blues are listed as 24.5-point underdogs against the Lions, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Lions (-24.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
Carlton vs Brisbane: Betting Tips
When you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of our best tips for today across all sports.
Our Carlton vs Brisbane predictions are based on market-leading simulations and betting intelligence to give you the best possible advice 24/7/365.
While the Lions have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Blues to win is our preferred option because of the 4.4% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.
Carlton vs Brisbane: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Carlton vs Brisbane at Marvel Stadium on Saturday is Brisbane winning 93-75.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Carlton vs Brisbane match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Carlton vs Brisbane match.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Carlton vs Brisbane: Essential Details
The AFL Round 21 clash between the Blues and Lions at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:40pm AEST on Saturday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Carlton vs Brisbane predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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