Carlton vs Brisbane Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 18, 2025
Last updated: Jul 9, 2025, 6:35AM | Published: Jul 6, 2025, 10:50AM
Carlton will take on the favoured Brisbane in AFL Round 18 action at Marvel Stadium on Thursday, commencing at 7:30pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Carlton vs Brisbane game, plus the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Carlton vs Brisbane AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Lions a 72% chance of winning against the Blues in Round 18 of the 2025 AFL season.
Carlton vs Brisbane: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Carlton $4.60, Brisbane $1.20
- Line: Carlton +27.5 ($1.91), Brisbane -27.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 168.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Carlton at $4.60 and Brisbane at $1.20.
The Blues are listed as 27.5-point underdogs against the Lions, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Lions (-27.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 168.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Blues (+27.5) are predicted to cover the line 67% of the time, while the 168.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.
Carlton vs Brisbane: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Carlton at $4.60 with Bet365
- Line: Carlton +27.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 168.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
If you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across all sports.
Today's Carlton vs Brisbane predictions are based on detailed simulations and betting expertise to give you the best possible advice 24/7.
While the Lions have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Blues to win is our recommended option because of the 6.4% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.
Carlton vs Brisbane: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Carlton vs Brisbane at Marvel Stadium on Thursday is Brisbane winning 91-76.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Carlton vs Brisbane match on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the Carlton vs Brisbane match.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Carlton vs Brisbane: Essential Details
The AFL Round 18 clash between the Blues and Lions at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:30pm AEST on Thursday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Carlton vs Brisbane predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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