Carlton vs Brisbane Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 18, 2025
Last updated: Jul 10, 2025, 9:30AM | Published: Jul 6, 2025, 10:50AM
Carlton will face the favoured Brisbane in AFL Round 18 action at Marvel Stadium on Thursday, starting at 7:30pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Carlton vs Brisbane game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Carlton vs Brisbane AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Lions a 77% chance of beating the Blues at Marvel Stadium.
Carlton vs Brisbane: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Carlton $5.20, Brisbane $1.18
- Line: Carlton +29.5 ($1.91), Brisbane -29.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 170.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Carlton at $5.20 and Brisbane at $1.18.
The Blues are 29.5-point underdogs against the Lions, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Lions (-29.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 170.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Blues (+29.5) are predicted to cover the line 63% of the time, while the 170.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 56% of the time.
Carlton vs Brisbane: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Carlton at $5.20 with Bet365
- Line: Carlton +29.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 170.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
If you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Stats Insider's best tips of the day across any sport.
Today's Carlton vs Brisbane best bets are based on market-leading modelling and wagering experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Lions have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Blues to win is our preferred option due to the 3.8% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable in the long run.
Carlton vs Brisbane: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Carlton vs Brisbane at Marvel Stadium on Thursday is Brisbane winning 93-73.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Carlton vs Brisbane match on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Carlton vs Brisbane game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Carlton vs Brisbane: Essential Details
The AFL Round 18 clash between the Blues and Lions at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:30pm AEST on Thursday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Carlton vs Brisbane predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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