Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul Prediction - 2026 Australian Open
Last updated: Jan 25, 2026, 2:29AM | Published: Jan 23, 2026, 12:56PM
Carlos Alcaraz will sqaure off with Tommy Paul in the fourth round of the 2026 Australian Open on Sunday.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Alcaraz vs Paul match, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Alcaraz-Paul men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives Alcaraz a 91% chance of beating Paul in the 2026 Australian Open.
Alcaraz vs Paul: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Sunday's 2026 Australian Open match between Alcaraz and Paul are shown below:
- Head to Head: Alcaraz $1.08, Paul $8.00
- First Set: Alcaraz $1.25, Paul $4.00
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Alcaraz at $1.08 and Paul at $8.00.
TAB currently has odds for Alcaraz to win the first set at $1.25 and odds for Paul to win the first set at $4.00.
Alcaraz vs Paul: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Alcaraz at $1.08 with TAB
- First Set: Paul at $1.83 with TAB (63% probability) 🔥
If you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across any sport.
Today's Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul best bets are based on detailed modelling and betting experience to give you the best possible advice around the clock.
While Alcaraz is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our recommended bet of Paul ($1.83) is based on the chance of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
Alcaraz vs Paul: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul match at the 2026 Australian Open tournament, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the Alcaraz-Paul match in the 2026 Australian Open.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every tennis match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Alcaraz vs Paul: 2026 Australian Open Essential Details
The 2026 Australian Open match between Carlos Alcaraz and Tommy Paul is scheduled to commence at 1:30pm AEDT.
- Match: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul
- Date: Sunday 25 January 2026
- Approx. Time: 1:30pm AEDT
- Event: 2026 Australian Open, Men's Singles
- Round: Fourth round
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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