Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul Prediction - 2026 Australian Open
Last updated: Jan 25, 2026, 1:01AM | Published: Jan 23, 2026, 12:56PM
Carlos Alcaraz will sqaure off with Tommy Paul in the fourth round of the 2026 Australian Open on Sunday.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Alcaraz vs Paul match, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Alcaraz-Paul men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives Alcaraz an 89% chance of winning against Paul in the 2026 Australian Open.
Alcaraz vs Paul: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Sunday's 2026 Australian Open match between Alcaraz and Paul are listed here:
- Head to Head: Alcaraz $1.10, Paul $7.00
- First Set: Alcaraz $1.25, Paul $4.00
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Alcaraz at $1.10 and Paul at $7.00.
TAB currently has odds for Alcaraz to win the first set at $1.25 and odds for Paul to win the first set at $4.00.
Alcaraz vs Paul: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Alcaraz at $1.10 with TAB
- First Set: Paul at $1.83 with TAB (60% probability) 🔥
When you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best tips for today across any sport.
Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul best bets are based on detailed modelling and wagering expertise to give you the best possible advice around the clock.
While Alcaraz is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our suggested bet of Paul ($1.83) is based on the expectation of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
Alcaraz vs Paul: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul match at the 2026 Australian Open tournament, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting tips before the Alcaraz-Paul match in the 2026 Australian Open.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every tennis match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Alcaraz vs Paul: 2026 Australian Open Essential Details
The 2026 Australian Open match between Carlos Alcaraz and Tommy Paul is scheduled to begin at 1:30pm AEDT.
- Match: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul
- Date: Sunday 25 January 2026
- Approx. Time: 1:30pm AEDT
- Event: 2026 Australian Open, Men's Singles
- Round: Fourth round
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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