Carlos Alcaraz vs Luca Nardi Prediction - ATP Doha 2025
Last updated: Feb 19, 2025, 3:01PM | Published: Feb 19, 2025, 12:13AM
Carlos Alcaraz will take on Luca Nardi in the round of 16 at the 2025 ATP Doha tournament on Thursday.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Alcaraz vs Nardi match, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Alcaraz-Nardi men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives Alcaraz an 83% chance of defeating Nardi at the ATP Doha tournament.
Alcaraz vs Nardi: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Thursday's ATP Doha match between Alcaraz and Nardi are shown below:
- Head to Head: Alcaraz $1.03, Nardi $15.00
- First Set: Alcaraz $1.10, Nardi $7.00
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Alcaraz at $1.03 and Nardi at $15.00.
TAB currently has odds for Alcaraz to win the first set at $1.10 and odds for Nardi to win the first set at $7.00.
Alcaraz vs Nardi: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Nardi at $15.00 with TAB
- First Set: Nardi at $1.66 with TAB (58% probability)
If you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best bets of the day across any sport.
Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Luca Nardi betting tips are based on complex modelling and wagering intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Although our predictive analytics model indicates that Alcaraz is more likely to win the match, betting on Nardi to win is the best option because of the 11.0% edge we found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently being offered.
Using the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to being a profitable bettor over the long run.
And while Alcaraz is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our suggested bet of Nardi ($1.66) is based on the likelihood of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
Alcaraz vs Nardi: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Carlos Alcaraz vs Luca Nardi match at the ATP Doha tournament, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Alcaraz-Nardi match at the ATP Doha event.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every tennis match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Alcaraz vs Nardi: ATP Doha Essential Details
The 2025 ATP Doha match between Carlos Alcaraz and Luca Nardi is scheduled to start at 2:00am AEDT.
- Match: Carlos Alcaraz vs Luca Nardi
- Date: Thursday 20 February 2025
- Approx. Time: 2:00am AEDT
- Event: ATP Doha, Qatar Men's Singles 2025
- Round: Round of 16
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Luca Nardi predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our tennis predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on Tennis
Stats Insider is your home for betting on tennis in Australia, with the latest tennis betting news, tips for every tennis tournament, and our in-house approach to accurately ranking the world's top 100 men's and women's players.

