Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction - ATP World Tour Finals 2025
Last updated: Nov 12, 2025, 8:21AM | Published: Nov 12, 2025, 5:53AM
Carlos Alcaraz will take on Lorenzo Musetti in the 0 at the ATP World Tour Finals 2025 tournament on Friday.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Alcaraz vs Musetti match, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Alcaraz-Musetti men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives Alcaraz an 84% chance of winning against Musetti at the ATP World Tour Finals 2025 tournament.
Alcaraz vs Musetti: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Friday's ATP World Tour Finals 2025 match between Alcaraz and Musetti are listed below:
- Head to Head: Alcaraz $1.14, Musetti $5.50
- First Set: Alcaraz $1.25, Musetti $4.00
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Alcaraz at $1.14 and Musetti at $5.50.
TAB currently has odds for Alcaraz to win the first set at $1.25 and odds for Musetti to win the first set at $4.00.
Alcaraz vs Musetti: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Musetti at $5.50 with TAB
- First Set: Musetti at $1.83 with TAB (52% probability)
These Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti predictions are based on detailed modelling and gambling intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Although our predictive analytics model indicates that Alcaraz is more likely to win the match, betting on Musetti to win is our preferred option because of the edge we discovered when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability as a sports bettor.
And while Alcaraz is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our recommended bet of Musetti ($1.83) is based on the chance of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
Alcaraz vs Musetti: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti match at the ATP World Tour Finals 2025 tournament, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Alcaraz-Musetti match at the ATP World Tour Finals 2025 event.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every tennis match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Alcaraz vs Musetti: ATP World Tour Finals 2025 Essential Details
The ATP World Tour Finals 2025 match between Carlos Alcaraz and Lorenzo Musetti is scheduled to begin at 6:30am AEDT.
- Match: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti
- Date: Friday 14 November 2025
- Approx. Time: 6:30am AEDT
- Event: ATP World Tour Finals Men's Singles 2025
- Round: 0
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our tennis predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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