Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction - ATP Italian Open 2025
Last updated: May 16, 2025, 1:30PM | Published: May 15, 2025, 12:02PM
Carlos Alcaraz will sqaure off with Lorenzo Musetti in the semi-finals at the 2025 ATP Italian Open tournament on Friday.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Alcaraz vs Musetti match, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Alcaraz-Musetti men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives Alcaraz a 70% chance of beating Musetti at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Alcaraz vs Musetti: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Friday's ATP Italian Open match between Alcaraz and Musetti are shown below:
- Head to Head: Alcaraz $1.33, Musetti $3.40
- First Set: Alcaraz $1.40, Musetti $3.00
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Alcaraz at $1.33 and Musetti at $3.40.
TAB currently has odds for Alcaraz to win the first set at $1.40 and odds for Musetti to win the first set at $3.00.
Alcaraz vs Musetti: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Musetti at $3.40 with TAB
- First Set: Musetti at $1.66 with TAB (56% probability)
Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti best bets are based on world-class simulations and betting experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Although our predictive analytics model indicates that Alcaraz is more likely to win the match, betting on Musetti to win is our preferred option due to the 2.0% edge we found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently being offered.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.
And while Alcaraz is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our suggested bet of Musetti ($1.66) is based on the chance of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
Alcaraz vs Musetti: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti match at the ATP Italian Open tournament, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Alcaraz-Musetti match at the ATP Italian Open event.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every tennis match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Alcaraz vs Musetti: ATP Italian Open Essential Details
The 2025 ATP Italian Open match between Carlos Alcaraz and Lorenzo Musetti is scheduled to start at 11:30pm AEST.
- Match: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti
- Date: Friday 16 May 2025
- Approx. Time: 11:30pm AEST
- Event: ATP Rome, Italy Men's Singles 2025
- Round: Semi-finals
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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