Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction - ATP Indian Wells Open 2026
Last updated: Mar 14, 2026, 10:31PM | Published: Mar 13, 2026, 7:53AM
Carlos Alcaraz will sqaure off with Daniil Medvedev in the semi-finals at the 2026 ATP Indian Wells Open tournament on Sunday.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Alcaraz vs Medvedev match, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Alcaraz-Medvedev men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives Alcaraz an 82% chance of beating Medvedev at the ATP Indian Wells Open tournament.
Alcaraz vs Medvedev: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Sunday's ATP Indian Wells Open match between Alcaraz and Medvedev are shown below:
- Head to Head: Alcaraz $1.16, Medvedev $5.00
- First Set: Alcaraz $1.25, Medvedev $4.00
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Alcaraz at $1.16 and Medvedev at $5.00.
TAB currently has odds for Alcaraz to win the first set at $1.25 and odds for Medvedev to win the first set at $4.00.
Alcaraz vs Medvedev: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Medvedev at $5.00 with TAB
- First Set: Medvedev at $1.80 with TAB (55% probability)
Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev betting tips are based on detailed modelling and wagering expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Although our predictive analytics model suggests that Alcaraz is more likely to win the match, betting on Medvedev to win is our preferred option because of the edge we found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently being offered.
Using the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable over the long run.
And while Alcaraz is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our suggested bet of Medvedev ($1.80) is based on the chance of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
Alcaraz vs Medvedev: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev match at the ATP Indian Wells Open tournament, including data-driven predictions and live in-play probabilitiestips.
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the Alcaraz-Medvedev match at the ATP Indian Wells Open tournament.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every tennis match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Alcaraz vs Medvedev: ATP Indian Wells Open Essential Details
The 2026 ATP Indian Wells Open match between Carlos Alcaraz and Daniil Medvedev is scheduled to start at 9:00am AEDT.
- Match: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev
- Date: Sunday 15 March 2026
- Approx. Time: 9:00am AEDT
- Event: ATP Indian Wells, USA Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Semi-finals
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our tennis predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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