Carlos Alcaraz vs Casper Ruud Prediction - ATP Japan Open 2025
Last updated: Sep 29, 2025, 4:02PM | Published: Sep 28, 2025, 12:53PM
Carlos Alcaraz will face Casper Ruud in the semi-finals at the 2025 ATP Japan Open tournament on Monday.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Alcaraz vs Ruud match, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Alcaraz-Ruud men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives Alcaraz an 85% chance of defeating Ruud at the ATP Japan Open tournament.
Alcaraz vs Ruud: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Monday's ATP Japan Open match between Alcaraz and Ruud are shown below:
- Head to Head: Alcaraz $1.11, Ruud $6.50
- First Set: Alcaraz $0.00, Ruud $0.00
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Alcaraz at $1.11 and Ruud at $6.50.
currently has odds for Alcaraz to win the first set at $0.00 and odds for Ruud to win the first set at $0.00.
Alcaraz vs Ruud: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Ruud at $6.50 with TAB
Stats Insider's Carlos Alcaraz vs Casper Ruud betting tips are based on complex modelling and betting experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Even though our predictive analytics model suggests that Alcaraz is more likely to win the match, betting on Ruud to win is the best option due to the edge we identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently available.
Using the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to being a profitable sports bettor over the long run.
And while Alcaraz is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our recommended bet of Ruud ($0.00) is based on the expectation of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
Alcaraz vs Ruud: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Carlos Alcaraz vs Casper Ruud match at the ATP Japan Open tournament, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Alcaraz-Ruud match at the ATP Japan Open tournament.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every tennis match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Alcaraz vs Ruud: ATP Japan Open Essential Details
The 2025 ATP Japan Open match between Carlos Alcaraz and Casper Ruud is scheduled to begin at 7:00pm AEST.
- Match: Carlos Alcaraz vs Casper Ruud
- Date: Monday 29 September 2025
- Approx. Time: 7:00pm AEST
- Event: ATP Tokyo, Japan Men's Singles 2025
- Round: Semi-finals
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Casper Ruud predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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