Carlos Alcaraz vs Brandon Nakashima Prediction - ATP Japan Open 2025
Last updated: Sep 28, 2025, 3:03PM | Published: Sep 27, 2025, 12:54PM
Carlos Alcaraz will take on Brandon Nakashima in the quarter-finals at the 2025 ATP Japan Open tournament on Sunday.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Alcaraz vs Nakashima match, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Alcaraz-Nakashima men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives Alcaraz an 88% chance of beating Nakashima at the ATP Japan Open tournament.
Alcaraz vs Nakashima: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Sunday's ATP Japan Open match between Alcaraz and Nakashima are shown below:
- Head to Head: Alcaraz $1.08, Nakashima $8.00
- First Set: Alcaraz $0.00, Nakashima $0.00
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Alcaraz at $1.08 and Nakashima at $8.00.
currently has odds for Alcaraz to win the first set at $0.00 and odds for Nakashima to win the first set at $0.00.
Alcaraz vs Nakashima: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Nakashima at $8.00 with TAB
These Carlos Alcaraz vs Brandon Nakashima predictions are based on detailed modelling and wagering expertise to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.
Although our predictive analytics model suggests that Alcaraz is more likely to win the match, taking Nakashima to win is the best option due to the edge we discovered when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently being offered.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.
And while Alcaraz is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our recommended bet of Nakashima ($0.00) is based on the likelihood of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
Alcaraz vs Nakashima: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Carlos Alcaraz vs Brandon Nakashima match at the ATP Japan Open tournament, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Alcaraz-Nakashima match at the ATP Japan Open tournament.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips for every tennis match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Alcaraz vs Nakashima: ATP Japan Open Essential Details
The 2025 ATP Japan Open match between Carlos Alcaraz and Brandon Nakashima is scheduled to commence at 6:15pm AEST.
- Match: Carlos Alcaraz vs Brandon Nakashima
- Date: Sunday 28 September 2025
- Approx. Time: 6:15pm AEST
- Event: ATP Tokyo, Japan Men's Singles 2025
- Round: Quarter-finals
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Brandon Nakashima predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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