Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev Prediction - ATP Doha 2026
Last updated: Feb 20, 2026, 4:31PM | Published: Feb 20, 2026, 6:57AM
Carlos Alcaraz will face Andrey Rublev in the semi-finals at the 2026 ATP Doha tournament on Saturday.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Alcaraz vs Rublev match, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Alcaraz-Rublev men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives Alcaraz an 83% chance of beating Rublev at the ATP Doha tournament.
Alcaraz vs Rublev: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Saturday's ATP Doha match between Alcaraz and Rublev are listed here:
- Head to Head: Alcaraz $1.14, Rublev $5.50
- First Set: Alcaraz $1.25, Rublev $4.00
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Alcaraz at $1.14 and Rublev at $5.50.
TAB currently has odds for Alcaraz to win the first set at $1.25 and odds for Rublev to win the first set at $4.00.
Alcaraz vs Rublev: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Rublev at $5.50 with TAB
- First Set: Rublev at $1.90 with TAB (51% probability)
Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev predictions are based on complex simulations and gambling intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Even though our predictive analytics model suggests that Alcaraz is more likely to win the match, taking Rublev to win is the best option due to the edge we found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently available.
Using the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to being a profitable bettor over the long run.
And while Alcaraz is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our recommended bet of Rublev ($1.90) is based on the expectation of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
Alcaraz vs Rublev: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev match at the ATP Doha tournament, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting predictions before the Alcaraz-Rublev match at the ATP Doha event.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every tennis match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Alcaraz vs Rublev: ATP Doha Essential Details
The 2026 ATP Doha match between Carlos Alcaraz and Andrey Rublev is scheduled to start at 3:30am AEDT.
- Match: Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev
- Date: Saturday 21 February 2026
- Approx. Time: 3:30am AEDT
- Event: ATP Doha, Qatar Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Semi-finals
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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