Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur Prediction - 2026 Australian Open
Last updated: Jan 27, 2026, 8:32AM | Published: Jan 25, 2026, 12:53PM
Carlos Alcaraz will face Alex de Minaur in the quarter-finals of the 2026 Australian Open on Tuesday.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Alcaraz vs de Minaur match, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Tuesday's Alcaraz-de Minaur men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives Alcaraz an 83% chance of beating de Minaur in the 2026 Australian Open.
Alcaraz vs de Minaur: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Tuesday's 2026 Australian Open match between Alcaraz and de Minaur are listed here:
- Head to Head: Alcaraz $1.16, de Minaur $5.00
- First Set: Alcaraz $1.33, de Minaur $3.40
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Alcaraz at $1.16 and de Minaur at $5.00.
TAB currently has odds for Alcaraz to win the first set at $1.33 and odds for de Minaur to win the first set at $3.40.
Alcaraz vs de Minaur: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Alcaraz at $1.16 with TAB
- First Set: de Minaur at $1.83 with TAB (56% probability)
Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur predictions are based on complex simulations and betting expertise to provide you with the best possible advice every time.
While Alcaraz is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our suggested bet of de Minaur ($1.83) is based on the expectation of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
Alcaraz vs de Minaur: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur match at the 2026 Australian Open tournament, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Alcaraz-de Minaur match in the 2026 Australian Open.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips for every tennis match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Alcaraz vs de Minaur: 2026 Australian Open Essential Details
The 2026 Australian Open match between Carlos Alcaraz and Alex de Minaur is scheduled to start at 8:10pm AEDT.
- Match: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur
- Date: Tuesday 27 January 2026
- Approx. Time: 8:10pm AEDT
- Event: 2026 Australian Open, Men's Singles
- Round: Quarter-finals
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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