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Capitals vs Sabres Prediction and NHL Betting Tips - 16 March 2023

The Washington Capitals square off with the Buffalo Sabres in NHL action at Capital One Arena on Thursday, starting at 10:00am AEDT.

Stats Insider's top betting tips for Capitals vs Sabres, plus the latest betting odds and goal scorer tips, are featured in this article.

Who will win? Capitals vs Sabres

Using state-of-the-art computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Thursday's Capitals-Sabres NHL game 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Capitals a 53% chance of defeating the Sabres at Capital One Arena.

More: Free Betting Guide for Capitals vs Sabres

Washington vs Buffalo Betting Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Thursday's NHL game at Capital One Arena are shown here:

  • Head to Head: Capitals $1.80, Sabres $2.05
  • Line: Capitals -1.5 ($2.90), Sabres +1.5 ($1.43)
  • Total (Over/Under 6.5 Goals): Over $1.71, Under $2.20

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Capitals to win at $1.80 and the Sabres to win at $2.05.

The Capitals are listed as 1.5-goal favourites against the Sabres, with odds of $2.90 currently available at PointsBet.

For the underdog Sabres (+1.5) to cover the line, bet365 currently has odds of $1.43.

The Over/Under for Capitals vs Sabres sits at 6.5 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.71 and odds for the Under at $2.20.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Sabres (+1.5) have a 67% chance of covering the line, while the 6.5-goal Over/Under is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

More: Best Bets for Every NHL Game

Capitals vs Sabres NHL Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Sabres at $2.05 with bet365
  • Line: Capitals -1.5 at $2.90 with PointsBet
  • Total Goals: Under 6.5 at $2.20 with bet365 (50% probability) 🔥

When you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of our best tips of the day across any sport.

These Capitals vs Sabres predictions are based on complex modelling and betting expertise to bring you the best possible advice every day of the year.

And while the Capitals have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Sabres to win is our recommended option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the bet365 odds currently on offer.

Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.

Even though the Sabres are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Capitals -1.5 is based on the probability of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.

Capitals vs Sabres Prediction

Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.

Stats Insider has full coverage of Washington vs Buffalo on Thursday, including pre-game predictions, the best betting tips, and live win probabilities.

Capitals vs Sabres Player Props

Are you looking for Capitals vs Sabres try scorers? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Washington's Alex Ovechkin is the most likely player to score the first goal in Capitals vs Sabres.

Ovechkin has a 7.9% chance of scoring the first goal at Capital One Arena, while the Capitals star has a 40.5% chance of netting an anytime goal.

Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Tips

Capitals First Goal Scorer Tips

  • Alex Ovechkin: 7.9% probability
  • Tom Wilson: 5.7% probability
  • T.J. Oshie: 5.2% probability
  • Evgeny Kuznetsov: 4.7% probability
  • Dylan Strome: 4.5% probability

Sabres First Goal Scorer Tips

  • Tage Thompson: 6.4% probability
  • Jeff Skinner: 5.8% probability
  • Alex Tuch: 5.2% probability
  • Dylan Cozens: 5.1% probability
  • Jack Quinn: 4.2% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

Capitals Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

  • Alex Ovechkin: 40.5% probability
  • Tom Wilson: 30.3% probability
  • T.J. Oshie: 27.1% probability
  • Dylan Strome: 25.7% probability
  • Evgeny Kuznetsov: 25.1% probability

Sabres Anytime Goal Scorer Tips

  • Tage Thompson: 34.3% probability
  • Jeff Skinner: 31.6% probability
  • Alex Tuch: 29.8% probability
  • Dylan Cozens: 29.2% probability
  • Jack Quinn: 24.2% probability

Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Washington vs Buffalo game at Capital One Arena.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every NHL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Capitals vs Sabres NHL 2023

The match-up between the Capitals and Sabres at Capital One Arena is scheduled to begin at 10:00am AEDT on Thursday.

  • Game: Washington Capitals vs Buffalo Sabres
  • Date: Thursday 16 March 2023
  • Time: 10:00am AEDT
  • Venue: Capital One Arena

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.

More About NHL

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the NHL in Australia, with the latest NHL betting news, tips for every NHL game, and futures probabilities for the NHL.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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