Burnley vs Manchester City Prediction and Tips - 23 April 2026
Last updated: Apr 17, 2026, 12:45PM | Published: Apr 13, 2026, 9:20AM
Burnley will take on the favoured Manchester City in Premier League action at Turf Moor on Thursday, beginning at 5:00am AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Burnley vs Manchester City game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Burnley vs Manchester City Premier League match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives Burnley an 8.9% chance of winning, Manchester City a 75.9% chance of winning, and the draw a 15.2% chance of occurring.
Burnley vs Manchester City: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Thursday's Premier League clash at Turf Moor are shown here:
- Head to Head: Burnley $12.00, Manchester City $1.20, Draw $6.25
- Total (Over/Under 2.5 Goals): Over $1.40, Under $3.00
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Burnley at $12.00 and Manchester City at $1.20.
Lastly, Bet365 has odds of $6.25 for a draw if you believe both sides will be level after 90 minutes.
The over/under for total goals scored is set at 2.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.40 for the over and $3.00 for the under.
Burnley vs Manchester City: Best Bets
Today's Burnley vs Manchester City best bets are based on market-leading simulations and gambling expertise to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.
Betting on Burnley to win is the best option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.
Despite the Over being more likely to hit in this game, Under 2.5 is our best bet because of the better odds ($3.00) that are available from Bet365.
Burnley vs Manchester City: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Burnley vs Manchester City match on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Burnley vs Manchester City game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every Premier League match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Burnley vs Manchester City: Essential Details
The Premier League game between Burnley and Manchester City at Turf Moor is scheduled to commence at 5:00am AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Burnley vs Manchester City
- Date: Thursday 23 April 2026
- Time: 5:00am AEST
- Venue: Turf Moor
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Burnley vs Manchester City predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our Premier League tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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