Burnley vs Manchester City Prediction and Tips - 23 April 2026
Last updated: Apr 17, 2026, 9:36AM | Published: Apr 13, 2026, 9:20AM
Burnley will face the favoured Manchester City in Premier League action at Turf Moor on Thursday, starting at 5:00am AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Burnley vs Manchester City game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Burnley vs Manchester City Premier League match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives Burnley an 8.9% chance of winning, Manchester City a 75.9% chance of winning, and the draw a 15.2% chance of happening.
Burnley vs Manchester City: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Thursday's Premier League clash at Turf Moor are listed here:
- Head to Head: Burnley $12.00, Manchester City $1.22, Draw $6.00
- Total (Over/Under 2.5 Goals): Over $1.40, Under $3.00
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Burnley at $12.00 and Manchester City at $1.22.
Lastly, Bet365 has odds of $6.00 for a draw if you think both sides will be all square after 90 minutes.
The over/under for total goals scored is set at 2.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.40 for the over and $3.00 for the under.
Burnley vs Manchester City: Best Bets
Our Burnley vs Manchester City predictions are based on detailed modelling and betting intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Betting on Burnley to win is the best option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability when punting on sports.
Despite the Over being more likely to hit in this game, Under 2.5 is our best bet due to the better odds ($3.00) that are available from Bet365.
Burnley vs Manchester City: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Burnley vs Manchester City match on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the Burnley vs Manchester City game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every Premier League match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Burnley vs Manchester City: Essential Details
The Premier League match-up between Burnley and Manchester City at Turf Moor is scheduled to begin at 5:00am AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Burnley vs Manchester City
- Date: Thursday 23 April 2026
- Time: 5:00am AEST
- Venue: Turf Moor
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Burnley vs Manchester City predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our Premier League tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our Premier League predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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