Broncos vs Roosters Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 17, 2026
Last updated: Jun 26, 2026, 9:55AM | Published: Jun 22, 2026, 2:05AM
The Broncos will take on the favoured Roosters in NRL Round 17 action at Suncorp Stadium on Friday, beginning at 8:00pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Broncos vs Roosters game, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Brisbane vs Sydney NRL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Roosters a 79% chance of defeating the Broncos in Round 17 of the 2026 NRL season.
Broncos vs Roosters: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at Suncorp Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Broncos $2.75, Roosters $1.41
- Line: Broncos +7.5 ($1.91), Roosters -7.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 48.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Broncos at $2.75 and the Roosters at $1.41.
The Broncos are 7.5-point underdogs against the Roosters, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Roosters (-7.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 48.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Roosters (-7.5) are predicted to cover the line 59% of the time, while the 48.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 58% of the time.
Broncos vs Roosters: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Roosters at $1.41 with Bet365
- Line: Roosters -7.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 48.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
If you see a 🔥, that means it's one of our best bets of the day across all sports.
Stats Insider's Broncos vs Roosters predictions are based on complex modelling and wagering experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Broncos vs Roosters: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Broncos vs Roosters at Suncorp Stadium this Friday is the Roosters winning 28-16.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Broncos vs Roosters match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Broncos vs Roosters: Try Scorers
Searching for Broncos vs Roosters try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Roosters' Mark Nawaqanitawase is the most likely player to score the first try in Brisbane vs Sydney.
Nawaqanitawase has a 12.4% chance of scoring the first try at Suncorp Stadium, while the Roosters star has a 61.5% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Brisbane Broncos
- Reece Walsh: 6.1% probability
- Josiah Karapani: 5.8% probability
- Kotoni Staggs: 5.4% probability
- Jesse Arthars: 5.3% probability
- Grant Anderson: 3.8% probability
Sydney Roosters
- Mark Nawaqanitawase: 12.4% probability
- Billy Smith: 6.5% probability
- James Tedesco: 6.4% probability
- Hugo Savala: 5.1% probability
- Robert Toia: 4.7% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Brisbane Broncos
- Reece Walsh: 40.4% probability
- Josiah Karapani: 37.5% probability
- Kotoni Staggs: 37.4% probability
- Jesse Arthars: 36.6% probability
- Grant Anderson: 28.6% probability
Sydney Roosters
- Mark Nawaqanitawase: 61.5% probability
- Billy Smith: 42.4% probability
- James Tedesco: 39.9% probability
- Hugo Savala: 36.8% probability
- Robert Toia: 34.2% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Broncos vs Roosters game.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips for every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Broncos vs Roosters: Essential Details
The NRL Round 17 clash between the Broncos and Roosters at Suncorp Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:00pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Brisbane Broncos vs Sydney Roosters
- Date: Friday 26 June 2026
- Kick-off: 8:00pm AEST
- Location: Suncorp Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Broncos vs Roosters predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
If you purchase a product or register for an account through one of the links on our site, we may receive compensation.
More on the NRL
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NRL, with the latest NRL betting news, tips for every NRL game, and futures odds for the NRL.
