Broncos vs Knights Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 22, 2026
Last updated: Aug 1, 2026, 9:30AM | Published: Jul 27, 2026, 12:40AM
The Broncos will take on the Knights in NRL Round 22 action at Suncorp Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 7:35pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Broncos vs Knights game, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Brisbane vs Newcastle NRL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Broncos a 62% chance of beating the Knights in Round 22 of the 2026 NRL season.
Broncos vs Knights: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at Suncorp Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Broncos $1.46, Knights $2.55
- Line: Broncos -5.5 ($1.91), Knights +5.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 45.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Broncos at $1.46 and the Knights at $2.55.
The Broncos are 5.5-point favourites against the Knights, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Knights (+5.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 45.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Knights (+5.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 45.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 55% of the time.
Broncos vs Knights: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Knights at $2.55 with Bet365
- Line: Knights +5.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 45.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Broncos vs Knights predictions are based on market-leading modelling and wagering intelligence to give you the best possible advice every time.
While the Broncos have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Knights to win is our recommended option because of the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being a profitable bettor in the long run.
Broncos vs Knights: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Broncos vs Knights at Suncorp Stadium on Saturday is the Broncos winning 24-19.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Broncos vs Knights match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Broncos vs Knights: Try Scorers
Are you looking for Broncos vs Knights try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Knights' Dominic Young is the most likely player to score the first try in Brisbane vs Newcastle.
Young has a 8.3% chance of scoring the first try at Suncorp Stadium, while the Knights star has a 46.2% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Brisbane Broncos
- Reece Walsh: 7.0% probability
- Josiah Karapani: 7.0% probability
- Grant Anderson: 6.8% probability
- Kotoni Staggs: 6.4% probability
- Ezra Mam: 5.9% probability
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 8.3% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 7.1% probability
- Fletcher Sharpe: 4.2% probability
- Bradman Best: 4.1% probability
- Kalyn Ponga: 3.6% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Brisbane Broncos
- Reece Walsh: 41.9% probability
- Grant Anderson: 40.7% probability
- Josiah Karapani: 40.6% probability
- Kotoni Staggs: 40.5% probability
- Ezra Mam: 36.1% probability
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 46.2% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 42.1% probability
- Bradman Best: 29.0% probability
- Fletcher Sharpe: 27.4% probability
- Kalyn Ponga: 24.1% probability
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the Broncos vs Knights match.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every NRL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Broncos vs Knights: Essential Details
The NRL Round 22 clash between the Broncos and Knights at Suncorp Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:35pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Brisbane Broncos vs Newcastle Knights
- Date: Saturday 1 August 2026
- Kick-off: 7:35pm AEST
- Location: Suncorp Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Broncos vs Knights predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
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