Broncos vs Jaguars Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 16, 2025
Last updated: Dec 16, 2025, 10:21AM | Published: Dec 14, 2025, 5:01AM
The Denver Broncos will take on the Jacksonville Jaguars in NFL Week 16 action at Empower Field at Mile High on Monday, beginning at 8:05am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Broncos vs Jaguars game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Denver vs Jacksonville NFL game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Broncos a 59% chance of defeating the Jaguars in Week 16 of the NFL season.
Broncos vs Jaguars: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Empower Field at Mile High are listed here:
- Head to Head: Broncos $1.61, Jaguars $2.40
- Line: Broncos -3 ($1.91), Jaguars +3 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 46 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Broncos at $1.61 and the Jaguars at $2.40.
The Broncos are 3-point favourites against the Jaguars, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Jaguars (+3) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 46 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Jaguars (+3) are predicted to cover the line 56% of the time, while the 46-point over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.
Broncos vs Jaguars: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Jacksonville at $2.40 with Bet365
- Line: Jaguars +3 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 46 at $1.91 with Bet365
If you see a 🔥, that means it's one of our best bets for today across any sport.
Stats Insider's Broncos vs Jaguars betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and gambling experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Broncos have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Jaguars to win is our recommended option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is crucial to being a profitable bettor in the long run.
Broncos vs Jaguars: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Broncos vs Jaguars at Empower Field at Mile High in Week 16 is the Broncos winning 23-21.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Denver vs Jacksonville game in Week 16, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Broncos vs Jaguars: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Broncos vs Jaguars? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Denver's RJ Harvey is the most likely player to score the first TD in Broncos vs Jaguars.
Harvey has a 13.9% chance of getting in for six first at Empower Field at Mile High, while the Broncos RB has a 57.7% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Broncos First TD Tips
- RJ Harvey: 13.9% probability
- Courtland Sutton: 6.6% probability
- Pat Bryant: 4.8% probability
- Bo Nix: 4.2% probability
- Troy Franklin: 4.1% probability
Jaguars First TD Tips
- Travis Etienne: 11.7% probability
- Jakobi Meyers: 6.0% probability
- Brian Thomas: 5.9% probability
- Trevor Lawrence: 5.4% probability
- Parker Washington: 5.2% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Broncos Anytime TD Tips
- RJ Harvey: 57.7% probability
- Courtland Sutton: 33.4% probability
- Pat Bryant: 25.7% probability
- Bo Nix: 22.8% probability
- Troy Franklin: 22.2% probability
Jaguars Anytime TD Tips
- Travis Etienne: 48.8% probability
- Jakobi Meyers: 29.2% probability
- Brian Thomas: 28.6% probability
- Trevor Lawrence: 26.6% probability
- Parker Washington: 25.9% probability
Broncos-Jaguars Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Broncos' Bo Nix is projected for 241 passing yards, while the Jaguars' Trevor Lawrence is expected to throw for 229 yards.
Broncos Starting QB
- Bo Nix: 241 projected passing yards
Jaguars Starting QB
- Trevor Lawrence: 229 projected passing yards
Broncos Rushing Yards
- RJ Harvey: 50 projected yards
- Bo Nix: 24 projected yards
- Jaleel McLaughlin: 24 projected yards
Jaguars Rushing Yards
- Travis Etienne: 56 projected yards
- LeQuint Allen: 18 projected yards
- Trevor Lawrence: 16 projected yards
Broncos Receiving Yards
- Courtland Sutton: 48 projected yards
- Pat Bryant: 39 projected yards
- Troy Franklin: 30 projected yards
- Evan Engram: 28 projected yards
- RJ Harvey: 16 projected yards
Jaguars Receiving Yards
- Brian Thomas: 49 projected yards
- Jakobi Meyers: 48 projected yards
- Brenton Strange: 39 projected yards
- Parker Washington: 36 projected yards
- Travis Etienne: 17 projected yards
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Denver vs Jacksonville match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Broncos vs Jaguars: Week 16 Essential Details
The NFL Week 16 match-up between the Broncos and Jaguars at Empower Field at Mile High is scheduled to start at 8:05am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Denver Broncos vs Jacksonville Jaguars
- Date: Monday 22 December 2025
- Time: 8:05am AEDT
- Venue: Empower Field at Mile High
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Denver vs Jacksonville predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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