Broncos vs Dragons Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 11, 2025
Last updated: May 18, 2025, 4:00AM | Published: May 14, 2025, 9:58PM
The Broncos will face the Dragons in NRL Round 11 action at Suncorp Stadium on Sunday, starting at 2:00pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Broncos vs Dragons game, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Brisbane vs St George Illawarra NRL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Broncos a 77% chance of defeating the Dragons in Round 11 of the 2025 NRL season.
Broncos vs Dragons: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's NRL clash at Suncorp Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Broncos $1.30, Dragons $3.70
- Line: Broncos -11.5 ($1.91), Dragons +11.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 50.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Broncos at $1.30 and the Dragons at $3.70.
The Broncos are 11.5-point favourites against the Dragons, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Dragons (+11.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 50.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Broncos (-11.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 50.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.
Broncos vs Dragons: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Broncos at $1.30 with Bet365
- Line: Broncos -11.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 50.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Broncos vs Dragons predictions are based on detailed simulations and betting experience to provide you with the best possible advice every day of the year.
Broncos vs Dragons: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Broncos vs Dragons at Suncorp Stadium on Sunday is the Broncos winning 30-19.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Broncos vs St George match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Broncos vs Dragons: Try Scorers
Searching for Broncos vs Dragons try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Broncos' Deine Mariner is the most likely player to score the first try in Brisbane vs St George Illawarra.
Mariner has a 11.4% chance of scoring the first try at Suncorp Stadium, while the Broncos star has a 63.7% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Brisbane Broncos
- Deine Mariner: 11.4% probability
- Ezra Mam: 7.6% probability
- Jesse Arthars: 7.6% probability
- Kotoni Staggs: 5.8% probability
- Gehamat Shibasaki: 5.1% probability
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Valentine Holmes: 5.4% probability
- Clinton Gutherson: 5.3% probability
- Tyrell Sloan: 5.3% probability
- Corey Allan: 3.6% probability
- Kyle Flanagan: 3.2% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Brisbane Broncos
- Deine Mariner: 63.7% probability
- Jesse Arthars: 49.0% probability
- Ezra Mam: 48.2% probability
- Kotoni Staggs: 38.8% probability
- Gehamat Shibasaki: 36.7% probability
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Clinton Gutherson: 37.2% probability
- Tyrell Sloan: 36.9% probability
- Valentine Holmes: 34.7% probability
- Corey Allan: 29.0% probability
- Kyle Flanagan: 22.8% probability
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Broncos vs Dragons game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every NRL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Broncos vs Dragons: Essential Details
The NRL Round 11 clash between the Broncos and Dragons at Suncorp Stadium is scheduled to start at 2:00pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Brisbane Broncos vs St George Illawarra Dragons
- Date: Sunday 18 May 2025
- Kick-off: 2:00pm AEST
- Location: Suncorp Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Broncos vs St George predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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