Broncos vs Dragons Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 11, 2025
Last updated: May 14, 2025, 9:10PM | Published: May 11, 2025, 10:55PM
The Broncos will sqaure off with the Dragons in NRL Round 11 action at Suncorp Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 2:00pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Broncos vs Dragons game, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Brisbane vs St George Illawarra NRL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Broncos a 77% chance of defeating the Dragons in Round 11 of the 2025 NRL season.
Broncos vs Dragons: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's NRL clash at Suncorp Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Broncos $1.31, Dragons $3.50
- Line: Broncos -10.5 ($1.91), Dragons +10.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 50.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Broncos at $1.31 and the Dragons at $3.50.
The Broncos are listed as 10.5-point favourites against the Dragons, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Dragons (+10.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 50.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Broncos (-10.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 50.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 54% of the time.
Broncos vs Dragons: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Broncos at $1.31 with Bet365
- Line: Broncos -10.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 50.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's Broncos vs Dragons best bets are based on complex modelling and wagering intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Broncos vs Dragons: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Broncos vs Dragons at Suncorp Stadium this Sunday is the Broncos winning 30-19.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Broncos vs St George match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Broncos vs Dragons: Try Scorers
Are you looking for Broncos vs Dragons try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Broncos' Deine Mariner is the most likely player to score the first try in Brisbane vs St George Illawarra.
Mariner has a 11.5% chance of scoring the first try at Suncorp Stadium, while the Broncos star has a 61.5% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Brisbane Broncos
- Deine Mariner: 11.5% probability
- Jesse Arthars: 7.5% probability
- Ezra Mam: 7.2% probability
- Kotoni Staggs: 5.4% probability
- Gehamat Shibasaki: 5.0% probability
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Tyrell Sloan: 5.5% probability
- Clinton Gutherson: 5.1% probability
- Valentine Holmes: 4.9% probability
- Corey Allan: 4.4% probability
- Kyle Flanagan: 3.1% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Brisbane Broncos
- Deine Mariner: 61.5% probability
- Jesse Arthars: 48.3% probability
- Ezra Mam: 46.9% probability
- Kotoni Staggs: 37.5% probability
- Gehamat Shibasaki: 35.9% probability
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Clinton Gutherson: 37.2% probability
- Tyrell Sloan: 37.0% probability
- Valentine Holmes: 35.1% probability
- Corey Allan: 30.8% probability
- Kyle Flanagan: 22.6% probability
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Broncos vs Dragons match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Broncos vs Dragons: Essential Details
The NRL Round 11 clash between the Broncos and Dragons at Suncorp Stadium is scheduled to begin at 2:00pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Brisbane Broncos vs St George Illawarra Dragons
- Date: Sunday 18 May 2025
- Kick-off: 2:00pm AEST
- Location: Suncorp Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Broncos vs St George predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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