Broncos vs Chiefs Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 11, 2025
Last updated: Nov 16, 2025, 9:20PM | Published: Nov 9, 2025, 5:06AM
The Denver Broncos will sqaure off with the favoured Kansas City Chiefs in NFL Week 11 action at Empower Field at Mile High on Monday, starting at 8:25am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Broncos vs Chiefs game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Denver vs Kansas City NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Chiefs a 66% chance of winning against the Broncos in Week 11 of the NFL season.
Broncos vs Chiefs: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Empower Field at Mile High are shown here:
- Head to Head: Broncos $2.75, Chiefs $1.48
- Line: Broncos +4 ($1.91), Chiefs -4 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 45 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Broncos at $2.75 and the Chiefs at $1.48.
The Broncos are listed as 4-point underdogs against the Chiefs, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Chiefs (-4) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 45 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Chiefs (-4) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 45-point over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.
Broncos vs Chiefs: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Kansas City at $1.48 with Bet365
- Line: Chiefs -4 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 45 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Broncos vs Chiefs predictions are based on market-leading simulations and betting intelligence to give you the best possible advice around the clock.
Broncos vs Chiefs: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Broncos vs Chiefs at Empower Field at Mile High in Week 11 is the Chiefs prevailing 24-20.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Denver vs Kansas City game in Week 11, including data-driven predictions and live scorestips.
Get expert analysis from the US with Dimers' in-depth Broncos vs Chiefs prediction.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Broncos vs Chiefs: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Broncos vs Chiefs? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Kansas City's Kareem Hunt is the most likely player to score the first TD in Broncos vs Chiefs.
Hunt has an 11.0% chance of scoring the first TD at Empower Field at Mile High, while the Chiefs RB has a 46.2% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Broncos First TD Tips
- RJ Harvey: 8.5% probability
- Courtland Sutton: 6.5% probability
- Troy Franklin: 5.9% probability
- Marvin Mims: 3.9% probability
- Evan Engram: 3.9% probability
Chiefs First TD Tips
- Kareem Hunt: 11.0% probability
- Rashee Rice: 10.2% probability
- Travis Kelce: 6.4% probability
- Xavier Worthy: 5.8% probability
- Patrick Mahomes: 4.0% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Broncos Anytime TD Tips
- RJ Harvey: 39.1% probability
- Courtland Sutton: 31.7% probability
- Troy Franklin: 29.1% probability
- Marvin Mims: 20.5% probability
- Evan Engram: 20.3% probability
Chiefs Anytime TD Tips
- Kareem Hunt: 46.2% probability
- Rashee Rice: 43.7% probability
- Travis Kelce: 30.2% probability
- Xavier Worthy: 28.0% probability
- Patrick Mahomes: 20.4% probability
Broncos-Chiefs Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Broncos' Bo Nix is projected for 228 passing yards, while the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is expected to throw for 265 yards.
Broncos Starting QB
- Bo Nix: 228 projected passing yards
Chiefs Starting QB
- Patrick Mahomes: 265 projected passing yards
Broncos Rushing Yards
- RJ Harvey: 47 projected yards
- Bo Nix: 25 projected yards
- Jaleel McLaughlin: 17 projected yards
Chiefs Rushing Yards
- Kareem Hunt: 45 projected yards
- Patrick Mahomes: 26 projected yards
- Brashard Smith: 10 projected yards
Broncos Receiving Yards
- Courtland Sutton: 54 projected yards
- Troy Franklin: 48 projected yards
- Evan Engram: 31 projected yards
- Marvin Mims: 29 projected yards
- RJ Harvey: 20 projected yards
Chiefs Receiving Yards
- Rashee Rice: 78 projected yards
- Xavier Worthy: 45 projected yards
- Travis Kelce: 45 projected yards
- Hollywood Brown: 28 projected yards
- JuJu Smith-Schuster: 15 projected yards
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Denver vs Kansas City game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Broncos vs Chiefs: Week 11 Essential Details
The NFL Week 11 game between the Broncos and Chiefs at Empower Field at Mile High is scheduled to begin at 8:25am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs
- Date: Monday 17 November 2025
- Time: 8:25am AEDT
- Venue: Empower Field at Mile High
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Denver vs Kansas City predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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