Broncos vs Bills Prediction and Preview - NFL Divisional Round 2026

The Denver Broncos will face the Buffalo Bills in the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs at Empower Field at Mile High on Sunday, starting at 8:30am AEDT.

This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Broncos vs Bills game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Denver vs Buffalo NFL match-up 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Broncos a 56% chance of winning against the Bills at Empower Field at Mile High.

Broncos vs Bills: Odds

The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Sunday's NFL game at Empower Field at Mile High are shown below:

• Head to Head: Broncos $1.80, Bills $2.05
• Line: Broncos -1.5 ($1.91), Bills +1.5 ($1.91)
• Total (Over/Under 45.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Broncos at $1.80 and the Bills at $2.05.

The Broncos are 1.5-point favourites against the Bills, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the underdog Bills (+1.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 45.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Broncos and the Bills have a 50% chance of covering the line.

The 45.5-point over/under is expected to is also considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Broncos vs Bills: Best Bets

• Head to Head: Denver at $1.80 with Bet365
• Line: Bills +1.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
• Total Points: Under 45.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

Stats Insider's Broncos vs Bills predictions are based on market-leading simulations and betting expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.

Broncos vs Bills: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Broncos vs Bills at Empower Field at Mile High on Sunday is the Broncos winning 23-21.

This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Denver vs Buffalo game on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.

For in-depth analysis from US experts,, check out Dimers' detailed Broncos vs Bills prediction.

18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Broncos vs Bills: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Broncos vs Bills? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Denver's RJ Harvey is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Broncos vs Bills.

Harvey has a 12.4% chance of scoring the first TD at Empower Field at Mile High, while the Broncos RB has a 50.5% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Broncos First TD Tips

• RJ Harvey: 12.4% probability
• Courtland Sutton: 6.8% probability
• Bo Nix: 4.4% probability
• Pat Bryant: 4.2% probability
• Troy Franklin: 4.0% probability

Bills First TD Tips

• James Cook: 11.0% probability
• Josh Allen: 10.6% probability
• Khalil Shakir: 4.7% probability
• Dalton Kincaid: 3.9% probability
• Brandin Cooks: 3.2% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Broncos Anytime TD Tips

• RJ Harvey: 50.5% probability
• Courtland Sutton: 31.9% probability
• Bo Nix: 22.2% probability
• Pat Bryant: 21.1% probability
• Troy Franklin: 20.5% probability

Bills Anytime TD Tips

• James Cook: 50.1% probability
• Josh Allen: 48.7% probability
• Khalil Shakir: 25.8% probability
• Dalton Kincaid: 21.9% probability
• Brandin Cooks: 18.3% probability

Broncos-Bills Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Broncos' Bo Nix is projected for 222 passing yards. The Bills' Josh Allen is expected to throw for 217 yards.

Broncos Starting QB

• Bo Nix: 222 projected passing yards

Bills Starting QB

• Josh Allen: 217 projected passing yards

Broncos Rushing Yards

• RJ Harvey: 54 projected yards
• Jaleel McLaughlin: 28 projected yards
• Bo Nix: 27 projected yards

Bills Rushing Yards

• James Cook: 81 projected yards
• Josh Allen: 40 projected yards
• Ray Davis: 8 projected yards

Broncos Receiving Yards

• Courtland Sutton: 60 projected yards
• Pat Bryant: 38 projected yards
• Troy Franklin: 29 projected yards
• Evan Engram: 26 projected yards
• RJ Harvey: 22 projected yards

Bills Receiving Yards

• Khalil Shakir: 56 projected yards
• Dalton Kincaid: 39 projected yards
• Brandin Cooks: 35 projected yards
• Keon Coleman: 27 projected yards
• Dawson Knox: 25 projected yards

Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Denver vs Buffalo match-up.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Broncos vs Bills: Essential Details

The match-up between the Broncos and Bills at Empower Field at Mile High is scheduled to begin at 8:30am AEDT on Sunday.

• Teams: Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills
• Playoff Round: NFL Divisional Round
• Date: Sunday 18 January 2026
• Time: 8:30am AEDT
• Venue: Empower Field at Mile High

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Denver vs Buffalo predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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