Broncos vs Bills Prediction and Preview - NFL Divisional Round 2026
Last updated: Jan 13, 2026, 4:05PM | Published: Jan 13, 2026, 9:51AM
The Denver Broncos will sqaure off with the Buffalo Bills in the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs at Empower Field at Mile High on Sunday, beginning at 8:30am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Broncos vs Bills game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Denver vs Buffalo NFL game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Broncos a 56% chance of beating the Bills at Empower Field at Mile High.
Broncos vs Bills: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Sunday's NFL game at Empower Field at Mile High are listed here:
- Head to Head: Broncos $1.91, Bills $1.91
- Line: Broncos -1 ($1.91), Bills +1 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 46.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Broncos at $1.91 and the Bills at $1.91.
The Broncos are 1-point favourites against the Bills, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Bills (+1) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 46.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Broncos (-1) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 46.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Broncos vs Bills: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Denver at $1.91 with Bet365
- Line: Broncos -1 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 46.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's Broncos vs Bills best bets are based on market-leading modelling and gambling expertise to bring you the best possible advice 24/7/365.
Broncos vs Bills: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Broncos vs Bills at Empower Field at Mile High on Sunday is the Broncos winning 23-22.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Denver vs Buffalo game on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Broncos vs Bills: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Broncos vs Bills? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Buffalo's James Cook is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Broncos vs Bills.
Cook has a 12.0% chance of scoring the first TD at Empower Field at Mile High, while the Bills RB has a 57.3% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.
Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Broncos First TD Tips
- RJ Harvey: 11.8% probability
- Courtland Sutton: 6.6% probability
- Jaleel McLaughlin: 4.1% probability
- Bo Nix: 4.0% probability
- Pat Bryant: 3.7% probability
Bills First TD Tips
- James Cook: 12.0% probability
- Josh Allen: 9.7% probability
- Khalil Shakir: 4.6% probability
- Ty Johnson: 4.6% probability
- Brandin Cooks: 3.7% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Broncos Anytime TD Tips
- RJ Harvey: 53.4% probability
- Courtland Sutton: 34.8% probability
- Jaleel McLaughlin: 23.3% probability
- Bo Nix: 22.8% probability
- Pat Bryant: 21.2% probability
Bills Anytime TD Tips
- James Cook: 57.3% probability
- Josh Allen: 49.9% probability
- Khalil Shakir: 28.0% probability
- Ty Johnson: 27.8% probability
- Brandin Cooks: 23.2% probability
Broncos-Bills Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Broncos' Bo Nix is projected for 220 passing yards, while the Bills' Josh Allen is expected to throw for 218 yards.
Broncos Starting QB
- Bo Nix: 220 projected passing yards
Bills Starting QB
- Josh Allen: 218 projected passing yards
Broncos Rushing Yards
- RJ Harvey: 51 projected yards
- Jaleel McLaughlin: 32 projected yards
- Bo Nix: 27 projected yards
Bills Rushing Yards
- James Cook: 86 projected yards
- Josh Allen: 40 projected yards
- Ty Johnson: 13 projected yards
Broncos Receiving Yards
- Courtland Sutton: 54 projected yards
- Pat Bryant: 38 projected yards
- Troy Franklin: 27 projected yards
- Evan Engram: 26 projected yards
- RJ Harvey: 23 projected yards
Bills Receiving Yards
- Khalil Shakir: 51 projected yards
- Dalton Kincaid: 38 projected yards
- Brandin Cooks: 31 projected yards
- Dawson Knox: 25 projected yards
- Tyrell Shavers: 21 projected yards
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Denver vs Buffalo match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Broncos vs Bills: Essential Details
The match-up between the Broncos and Bills at Empower Field at Mile High is scheduled to begin at 8:30am AEDT on Sunday.
- Teams: Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills
- Playoff Round: NFL Divisional Round
- Date: Sunday 18 January 2026
- Time: 8:30am AEDT
- Venue: Empower Field at Mile High
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Denver vs Buffalo predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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