Brisbane vs St Kilda Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 14, 2024

Brisbane will take on St Kilda in AFL Round 14 action at The Gabba on Friday, beginning at 7:40pm AEST.

Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Brisbane vs St Kilda game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed below.

Who Will Win: Brisbane vs St Kilda

Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Brisbane-St Kilda AFL match 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Lions an 84% chance of winning against the Saints at The Gabba.

More: Brisbane vs St Kilda Simulated 10K Times

Brisbane vs St Kilda: Odds

The latest betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at The Gabba are shown below:

  • Head to Head: Brisbane $1.18, St Kilda $6.20
  • Line: Brisbane -35.5 ($2.12), St Kilda +35.5 ($1.87)
  • Total (Over/Under 160.5 Points): Over $2.08, Under $1.90

Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Brisbane at $1.18 and St Kilda at $6.20.

The Lions are listed as 35.5-point favourites against the Saints, with odds of $2.12 currently on offer at Betfair.

For the underdog Saints (+35.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.87.

The over/under for Brisbane vs St Kilda sits at 160.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the over at $2.08 and odds for the under at $1.90.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Saints (+35.5) have a 61% chance of covering the line, while the 160.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of going Over.

More: Best Bets Today for All Sports

Brisbane vs St Kilda: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: St Kilda at $6.20 with Betfair
  • Line: St Kilda +35.5 at $1.87 with Betfair (61% probability) 🔥
  • Total Points: Over 160.5 at $2.08 with Betfair (53% probability) 🔥

Any time you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of our best tips for today across any sport.

These Brisbane vs St Kilda predictions are based on market-leading simulations and gambling intelligence to provide you with the best possible advice 24/7.

While the Lions have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Saints to win is our preferred option due to the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a sports bettor.

Brisbane vs St Kilda: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Brisbane vs St Kilda at The Gabba this Friday has Brisbane winning 94-67.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider has full coverage of Brisbane vs St Kilda on Friday, including pre-match predictions, free betting tips, and live scores.

Brisbane vs St Kilda: Goal Kickers

Searching for Brisbane vs St Kilda goal kicker tips? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Brisbane's Joe Daniher is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Brisbane vs St Kilda.

Daniher has a 9.3% chance of kicking the first goal at The Gabba, while the Lions star has a 92.9% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.

Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Kicker Tips


  • Joe Daniher: 9.3% probability
  • Charlie Cameron: 7.9% probability
  • Eric Hipwood: 6.1% probability
  • Logan Morris: 5.3% probability
  • Kai Lohmann: 4.8% probability

St Kilda

  • Jack Higgins: 4.8% probability
  • Max King: 4.7% probability
  • Anthony Caminiti: 3.8% probability
  • Dan Butler: 2.8% probability
  • Mitch Owens: 2.6% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Tips


  • Joe Daniher: 92.9% probability
  • Charlie Cameron: 88.1% probability
  • Eric Hipwood: 82.3% probability
  • Logan Morris: 77.4% probability
  • Kai Lohmann: 71.7% probability

St Kilda

  • Max King: 76.1% probability
  • Jack Higgins: 73.4% probability
  • Anthony Caminiti: 61.3% probability
  • Mitch Owens: 52.5% probability
  • Dan Butler: 50.0% probability

Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the Brisbane vs St Kilda match at The Gabba.

As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips for every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

More: AFL Player Ratings 2024

Brisbane vs St Kilda: Preview

The AFL Round 14 clash between the Lions and Saints at The Gabba is scheduled to begin at 7:40pm AEST on Friday.

  • Teams: Brisbane vs St Kilda
  • Date: Friday 14 June 2024
  • Time: 7:40pm AEST
  • Venue: The Gabba

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Our Brisbane vs St Kilda predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit

More on the AFL

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, predictions for every AFL game, and futures odds for the AFL.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

Related Articles
More Articles