Brisbane vs North Melbourne Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 4, 2024

Brisbane will take on North Melbourne in AFL Round 4 action at Norwood Oval on Friday, starting at 5:10pm AEDT.

Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Brisbane vs North Melbourne game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured in this article.

Who Will Win: Brisbane vs North Melbourne

Based on detailed computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Brisbane-North Melbourne AFL match 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Lions an 86% chance of beating the Kangaroos at Norwood Oval.

More: Brisbane vs North Melbourne Match Centre

Brisbane vs North Melbourne: Odds

The latest betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at Norwood Oval are listed here:

  • Head to Head: Brisbane $1.16, North Melbourne $6.80
  • Line: Brisbane -39.5 ($2.10), North Melbourne +39.5 ($1.87)
  • Total (Over/Under 181.5 Points): Over $2.04, Under $1.90

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Brisbane at $1.16 and North Melbourne at $6.80.

The Lions are 39.5-point favourites against the Kangaroos, with odds of $2.10 currently available at TAB.

For the underdog Kangaroos (+39.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.87.

The Over/Under for total points scored has been set at 181.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.04 and odds for the Under at $1.90.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Kangaroos (+39.5) have a 64% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 181.5 points has a 55% chance of staying Under.

More: Predictions for Every AFL Game

Brisbane vs North Melbourne: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: N Melbourne at $6.80 with
  • Line: N Melbourne +39.5 at $1.87 with Betfair (64% probability) 🔥
  • Total Points: Under 181.5 at $1.90 with Betfair (55% probability)

Any time you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best tips for today across all sports.

These Brisbane vs North Melbourne betting tips are based on complex modelling and gambling intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Lions have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Kangaroos to win is our preferred option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being a profitable punter in the long run.

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Brisbane vs North Melbourne: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Brisbane vs North Melbourne at Norwood Oval this Friday has Brisbane winning 104-74.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Brisbane vs North Melbourne on Friday, including pre-match predictions, top betting tips, and live win probabilities.

Brisbane vs North Melbourne: Goal Kickers

Looking for Brisbane vs North Melbourne goalscorer tips? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Brisbane's Joe Daniher is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Brisbane vs North Melbourne.

Daniher has an 8.4% chance of kicking the first goal at Norwood Oval, while the Lions star has a 93.5% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.

Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Kicker Tips


  • Joe Daniher: 8.4% probability
  • Charlie Cameron: 6.6% probability
  • Lincoln McCarthy: 5.8% probability
  • Eric Hipwood: 5.6% probability
  • Cam Rayner: 4.8% probability

North Melbourne

  • Nick Larkey: 6.1% probability
  • Cameron Zurhaar: 4.5% probability
  • Paul Curtis: 3.9% probability
  • Charlie Comben: 3.5% probability
  • Eddie Ford: 2.8% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Tips


  • Joe Daniher: 93.5% probability
  • Charlie Cameron: 89.8% probability
  • Lincoln McCarthy: 84.3% probability
  • Eric Hipwood: 83.8% probability
  • Zac Bailey: 77.3% probability

North Melbourne

  • Nick Larkey: 85.6% probability
  • Cameron Zurhaar: 77.5% probability
  • Paul Curtis: 70.7% probability
  • Charlie Comben: 66.5% probability
  • Jaidyn Stephenson: 56.2% probability

Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the Brisbane vs North Melbourne match at Norwood Oval.

As always, check out our Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

More: AFL Player Ratings 2024

Brisbane vs North Melbourne: Preview

The AFL Round 4 clash between the Lions and Kangaroos at Norwood Oval is scheduled to commence at 5:10pm AEDT on Friday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.

Our Brisbane vs North Melbourne predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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