Brisbane vs Melbourne Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 10, 2025
Last updated: May 18, 2025, 5:15AM | Published: May 14, 2025, 9:57PM
Brisbane will take on Melbourne in AFL Round 10 action at The Gabba on Sunday, commencing at 3:20pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Brisbane vs Melbourne game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Brisbane vs Melbourne AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Lions an 87% chance of winning against the Demons at The Gabba.
Brisbane vs Melbourne: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at The Gabba are shown here:
- Head to Head: Brisbane $1.14, Melbourne $5.75
- Line: Brisbane -33.5 ($1.91), Melbourne +33.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 171.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Brisbane at $1.14 and Melbourne at $5.75.
The Lions are listed as 33.5-point favourites against the Demons, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Demons (+33.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 171.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Demons (+33.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 171.5-point over/under is expected to go over 51% of the time.
Brisbane vs Melbourne: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Brisbane at $1.14 with Bet365
- Line: Melbourne +33.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 171.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Brisbane vs Melbourne betting tips are based on detailed modelling and gambling expertise to give you the best possible advice 24/7.
Brisbane vs Melbourne: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Brisbane vs Melbourne at The Gabba this Sunday is Brisbane winning 101-70.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Brisbane vs Melbourne match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Brisbane vs Melbourne: Goal Scorers
Are you looking for Brisbane vs Melbourne goal kicker tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Brisbane's Charlie Cameron is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Brisbane vs Melbourne.
Cameron has a 7.6% chance of kicking the first goal at The Gabba, while the Lions star has an 88.2% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Brisbane
- Charlie Cameron: 7.6% probability
- Eric Hipwood: 6.8% probability
- Zac Bailey: 6.1% probability
- Callum Chee: 6.0% probability
- Kai Lohmann: 5.4% probability
Melbourne
- Bayley Fritsch: 5.3% probability
- Kysaiah Pickett: 4.7% probability
- Christian Petracca: 4.0% probability
- Jake Melksham: 3.1% probability
- Daniel Turner: 3.1% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Brisbane
- Charlie Cameron: 88.2% probability
- Eric Hipwood: 86.1% probability
- Callum Chee: 82.5% probability
- Zac Bailey: 82.1% probability
- Kai Lohmann: 81.4% probability
Melbourne
- Bayley Fritsch: 78.5% probability
- Kysaiah Pickett: 76.1% probability
- Christian Petracca: 67.8% probability
- Jake Melksham: 60.2% probability
- Daniel Turner: 59.8% probability
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Brisbane vs Melbourne game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Brisbane vs Melbourne: Essential Details
The AFL Round 10 clash between the Lions and Demons at The Gabba is scheduled to begin at 3:20pm AEST on Sunday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Brisbane vs Melbourne predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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