Brisbane vs Hawthorn Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 22, 2026
Last updated: Aug 7, 2026, 9:40AM | Published: Aug 2, 2026, 7:25AM
Brisbane will take on Hawthorn in AFL Round 22 action at The Gabba on Friday, beginning at 7:40pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Brisbane vs Hawthorn game, plus the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Brisbane vs Hawthorn AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Lions a 59% chance of winning against the Hawks in Round 22 of the 2026 AFL season.
Brisbane vs Hawthorn: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at The Gabba are shown below:
- Head to Head: Brisbane $1.80, Hawthorn $2.02
- Line: Brisbane -2.5 ($1.91), Hawthorn +2.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 188.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Brisbane at $1.80 and Hawthorn at $2.02.
The Lions are 2.5-point favourites against the Hawks, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Hawks (+2.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 188.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Lions (-2.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 188.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.
Brisbane vs Hawthorn: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Brisbane at $1.80 with Bet365
- Line: Brisbane -2.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 188.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Brisbane vs Hawthorn predictions are based on detailed modelling and betting expertise to bring you the best possible advice 24/7/365.
Brisbane vs Hawthorn: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Brisbane vs Hawthorn at The Gabba this Friday is Brisbane prevailing 96-90.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Brisbane vs Hawthorn match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and computer tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Brisbane vs Hawthorn match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Brisbane vs Hawthorn: Essential Details
The AFL Round 22 clash between the Lions and Hawks at The Gabba is scheduled to start at 7:40pm AEST on Friday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Brisbane vs Hawthorn predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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