Brisbane vs Hawthorn Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 22, 2026
Last updated: Aug 2, 2026, 7:50PM | Published: Aug 2, 2026, 7:25AM
Brisbane will sqaure off with Hawthorn in AFL Round 22 action at The Gabba on Friday, starting at 7:40pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Brisbane vs Hawthorn game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Brisbane vs Hawthorn AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Lions a 59% chance of beating the Hawks in Round 22 of the 2026 AFL season.
Brisbane vs Hawthorn: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at The Gabba are shown below:
- Head to Head: Brisbane $1.82, Hawthorn $2.00
- Line: Brisbane -2.5 ($1.91), Hawthorn +2.5 ($1.91)
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Brisbane at $1.82 and Hawthorn at $2.00.
The Lions are listed as 2.5-point favourites against the Hawks, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Hawks (+2.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
Brisbane vs Hawthorn: Best Bets
Today's Brisbane vs Hawthorn predictions are based on detailed simulations and gambling intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Brisbane vs Hawthorn: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Brisbane vs Hawthorn at The Gabba on Friday is Brisbane winning 85-79.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Brisbane vs Hawthorn match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the Brisbane vs Hawthorn match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Brisbane vs Hawthorn: Essential Details
The AFL Round 22 clash between the Lions and Hawks at The Gabba is scheduled to begin at 7:40pm AEST on Friday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Brisbane vs Hawthorn predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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