Brisbane vs Fremantle Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 12, 2026
Last updated: May 30, 2026, 6:08AM | Published: May 24, 2026, 10:31AM
Brisbane will face Fremantle in AFL Round 12 action at The Gabba on Saturday, starting at 4:15pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Brisbane vs Fremantle game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Brisbane vs Fremantle AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Lions a 61% chance of beating the Dockers in Round 12 of the 2026 AFL season.
Brisbane vs Fremantle: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at The Gabba are shown here:
- Head to Head: Brisbane $1.56, Fremantle $2.45
- Line: Brisbane -10.5 ($1.91), Fremantle +10.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 186.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Brisbane at $1.56 and Fremantle at $2.45.
The Lions are 10.5-point favourites against the Dockers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Dockers (+10.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 186.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Dockers (+10.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 186.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 55% of the time.
Brisbane vs Fremantle: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Fremantle at $2.45 with Bet365
- Line: Fremantle +10.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 186.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Brisbane vs Fremantle predictions are based on market-leading modelling and betting intelligence to give you the best possible advice every time.
While the Lions have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Dockers to win is our preferred option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a sports bettor.
Brisbane vs Fremantle: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Brisbane vs Fremantle at The Gabba this Saturday is Brisbane winning 96-87.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Brisbane vs Fremantle match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and computer tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Brisbane vs Fremantle: Goal Scorers
Searching for Brisbane vs Fremantle goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Brisbane's Logan Morris is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Brisbane vs Fremantle.
Morris has an 8.2% chance of kicking the first goal at The Gabba, while the Lions star has a 92.2% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Brisbane
- Logan Morris: 8.2% probability
- Charlie Cameron: 6.6% probability
- Kai Lohmann: 6.4% probability
- Cam Rayner: 5.6% probability
- Zac Bailey: 5.3% probability
Fremantle
- Jye Amiss: 8.0% probability
- Josh Treacy: 7.8% probability
- Patrick Voss: 6.3% probability
- Michael Frederick: 4.1% probability
- Isaiah Dudley: 4.0% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Brisbane
- Logan Morris: 92.2% probability
- Kai Lohmann: 86.5% probability
- Charlie Cameron: 86.5% probability
- Zac Bailey: 80.8% probability
- Cam Rayner: 80.8% probability
Fremantle
- Jye Amiss: 91.3% probability
- Josh Treacy: 91.3% probability
- Patrick Voss: 85.8% probability
- Michael Frederick: 73.3% probability
- Shai Bolton: 68.9% probability
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Brisbane vs Fremantle match.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Brisbane vs Fremantle: Essential Details
The AFL Round 12 clash between the Lions and Dockers at The Gabba is scheduled to start at 4:15pm AEST on Saturday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Brisbane vs Fremantle predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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