Brisbane vs Essendon Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 18, 2026
Last updated: Jul 11, 2026, 1:45AM | Published: Jul 5, 2026, 10:40PM
Brisbane will take on Essendon in AFL Round 18 action at The Gabba on Sunday, commencing at 4:40pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Brisbane vs Essendon game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Brisbane vs Essendon AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Lions a 98% chance of defeating the Bombers at The Gabba.
Brisbane vs Essendon: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at The Gabba are shown here:
- Head to Head: Brisbane $1.02, Essendon $17.00
- Line: Brisbane -62.5 ($1.91), Essendon +62.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 187.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Brisbane at $1.02 and Essendon at $17.00.
The Lions are 62.5-point favourites against the Bombers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Bombers (+62.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 187.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Lions (-62.5) are predicted to cover the line 60% of the time, while the 187.5-point over/under is expected to go over 51% of the time.
Brisbane vs Essendon: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Brisbane at $1.02 with Bet365
- Line: Brisbane -62.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 187.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best tips of the day across any sport.
Stats Insider's Brisbane vs Essendon best bets are based on market-leading modelling and betting experience to bring you the best possible advice every time.
Brisbane vs Essendon: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Brisbane vs Essendon at The Gabba on Sunday is Brisbane winning 129-58.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Brisbane vs Essendon match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the Brisbane vs Essendon game.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Brisbane vs Essendon: Essential Details
The AFL Round 18 clash between the Lions and Bombers at The Gabba is scheduled to commence at 4:40pm AEST on Sunday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Brisbane vs Essendon predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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