Brisbane vs Essendon Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 18, 2026
Last updated: Jul 12, 2026, 6:40AM | Published: Jul 5, 2026, 10:40PM
Brisbane will face Essendon in AFL Round 18 action at The Gabba on Sunday, beginning at 4:40pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Brisbane vs Essendon game, along with the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Brisbane vs Essendon AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Lions a 99% chance of defeating the Bombers in Round 18 of the 2026 AFL season.
Brisbane vs Essendon: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at The Gabba are shown below:
- Head to Head: Brisbane $1.01, Essendon $21.00
- Line: Brisbane -66.5 ($1.91), Essendon +66.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 190.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Brisbane at $1.01 and Essendon at $21.00.
The Lions are 66.5-point favourites against the Bombers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Bombers (+66.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 190.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Lions (-66.5) are predicted to cover the line 57% of the time, while the 190.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Brisbane vs Essendon: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Brisbane at $1.01 with Bet365
- Line: Brisbane -66.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 190.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
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Today's Brisbane vs Essendon best bets are based on world-class modelling and wagering experience to bring you the best possible advice every time.
Brisbane vs Essendon: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Brisbane vs Essendon at The Gabba on Sunday is Brisbane winning 131-59.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Brisbane vs Essendon match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting predictions before the Brisbane vs Essendon match.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Brisbane vs Essendon: Essential Details
The AFL Round 18 clash between the Lions and Bombers at The Gabba is scheduled to start at 4:40pm AEST on Sunday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Brisbane vs Essendon predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
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