Brisbane vs Essendon Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 12, 2025
Last updated: May 27, 2025, 6:57PM | Published: May 25, 2025, 9:40PM
Brisbane will take on Essendon in AFL Round 12 action at The Gabba on Thursday, beginning at 7:30pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Brisbane vs Essendon game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Brisbane vs Essendon AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Lions a 90% chance of defeating the Bombers at The Gabba.
Brisbane vs Essendon: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at The Gabba are shown below:
- Head to Head: Brisbane $1.08, Essendon $8.00
- Line: Brisbane -42.5 ($1.91), Essendon +42.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 174.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Brisbane at $1.08 and Essendon at $8.00.
The Lions are 42.5-point favourites against the Bombers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Bombers (+42.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 174.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Bombers (+42.5) are predicted to cover the line 61% of the time, while the 174.5-point over/under is expected to go over 53% of the time.
Brisbane vs Essendon: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Essendon at $8.00 with Bet365
- Line: Essendon +42.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 174.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across all sports.
Stats Insider's Brisbane vs Essendon predictions are based on world-class modelling and betting expertise to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Lions have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Bombers to win is our preferred option due to the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.
Brisbane vs Essendon: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Brisbane vs Essendon at The Gabba this Thursday is Brisbane prevailing 105-70.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Brisbane vs Essendon match on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting predictions before the Brisbane vs Essendon match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Brisbane vs Essendon: Essential Details
The AFL Round 12 clash between the Lions and Bombers at The Gabba is scheduled to commence at 7:30pm AEST on Thursday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Brisbane vs Essendon predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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