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Brisbane vs Collingwood Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 4, 2026

Brisbane will take on Collingwood in AFL Round 4 action at The Gabba on Thursday, commencing at 7:30pm AEDT.

This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Brisbane vs Collingwood game, plus the latest betting odds.

Who Will Win?

Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Brisbane vs Collingwood AFL match 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Lions a 71% chance of beating the Magpies at The Gabba.

Brisbane vs Collingwood: Odds

The latest Bet365 betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at The Gabba are listed here:

  • Head to Head: Brisbane $1.25, Collingwood $4.00
  • Line: Brisbane -24.5 ($1.91), Collingwood +24.5 ($1.91)
  • Total (Over/Under 177.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Brisbane at $1.25 and Collingwood at $4.00.

The Lions are listed as 24.5-point favourites against the Magpies, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the underdog Magpies (+24.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 177.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Magpies (+24.5) are predicted to cover the line 58% of the time, while the 177.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 55% of the time.

Brisbane vs Collingwood: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Collingwood at $4.00 with Bet365
  • Line: Collingwood +24.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
  • Total Points: Under 177.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

If you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Stats Insider's best tips of the day across any sport.

These Brisbane vs Collingwood betting tips are based on detailed modelling and gambling experience to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.

While the Lions have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Magpies to win is our preferred option because of the 3.5% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being a profitable bettor in the long run.

Brisbane vs Collingwood: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Brisbane vs Collingwood at The Gabba on Thursday is Brisbane winning 96-78.

This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Brisbane vs Collingwood match on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.

18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Brisbane vs Collingwood match.

As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Brisbane vs Collingwood: Essential Details

The AFL Round 4 clash between the Lions and Magpies at The Gabba is scheduled to start at 7:30pm AEDT on Thursday.

  • Teams: Brisbane vs Collingwood
  • Date: Thursday 2 April 2026
  • Time: 7:30pm AEDT
  • Venue: The Gabba

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Brisbane vs Collingwood predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on the AFL

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, tips for every AFL game, and futures odds for the AFL.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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