Brisbane vs Carlton Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 9, 2026
Last updated: May 5, 2026, 2:50PM | Published: May 3, 2026, 10:25AM
Brisbane will take on Carlton in AFL Round 9 action at The Gabba on Friday, commencing at 7:30pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Brisbane vs Carlton game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Brisbane vs Carlton AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Lions a 92% chance of defeating the Blues in Round 9 of the 2026 AFL season.
Brisbane vs Carlton: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at The Gabba are shown here:
- Head to Head: Brisbane $1.08, Carlton $8.00
- Line: Brisbane -42.5 ($1.91), Carlton +42.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 186.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Brisbane at $1.08 and Carlton at $8.00.
The Lions are listed as 42.5-point favourites against the Blues, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Blues (+42.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 186.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Lions (-42.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 186.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Brisbane vs Carlton: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Brisbane at $1.08 with Bet365
- Line: Brisbane -42.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 186.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Brisbane vs Carlton predictions are based on world-class modelling and gambling experience to bring you the best possible advice 24/7/365.
Brisbane vs Carlton: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Brisbane vs Carlton at The Gabba on Friday is Brisbane winning 115-70.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Brisbane vs Carlton match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Brisbane vs Carlton match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Brisbane vs Carlton: Essential Details
The AFL Round 9 clash between the Lions and Blues at The Gabba is scheduled to begin at 7:30pm AEST on Friday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Brisbane vs Carlton predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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