Brisbane vs Carlton Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 9, 2026
Last updated: May 8, 2026, 9:30AM | Published: May 3, 2026, 10:25AM
Brisbane will take on Carlton in AFL Round 9 action at The Gabba on Friday, commencing at 7:30pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Brisbane vs Carlton game, plus the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Brisbane vs Carlton AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Lions a 92% chance of defeating the Blues in Round 9 of the 2026 AFL season.
Brisbane vs Carlton: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at The Gabba are listed here:
- Head to Head: Brisbane $1.09, Carlton $7.50
- Line: Brisbane -41.5 ($1.91), Carlton +41.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 184.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Brisbane at $1.09 and Carlton at $7.50.
The Lions are 41.5-point favourites against the Blues, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Blues (+41.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 184.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Lions (-41.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 184.5-point over/under is expected to go over 51% of the time.
Brisbane vs Carlton: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Brisbane at $1.09 with Bet365
- Line: Brisbane -41.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 184.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Brisbane vs Carlton best bets are based on market-leading simulations and gambling expertise to give you the best possible advice 24/7.
Brisbane vs Carlton: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Brisbane vs Carlton at The Gabba on Friday is Brisbane winning 115-70.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Brisbane vs Carlton match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and free tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Brisbane vs Carlton match.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Brisbane vs Carlton: Essential Details
The AFL Round 9 clash between the Lions and Blues at The Gabba is scheduled to commence at 7:30pm AEST on Friday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Brisbane vs Carlton predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on the AFL
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, predictions for every AFL game, and futures probabilities for the AFL.
