Brisbane vs Adelaide Prediction and Tips - AFL Semi-Final 2026
Last updated: Sep 12, 2026, 9:35AM | Published: Sep 5, 2026, 3:26PM
Brisbane will sqaure off with Adelaide in AFL Semi-Final action at The Gabba on Saturday, beginning at 7:35pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Brisbane vs Adelaide game, along with the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Brisbane vs Adelaide AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Lions a 76% chance of beating the Crows in their AFL semi-final clash.
Brisbane vs Adelaide: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at The Gabba are listed below:
- Head to Head: Brisbane $1.30, Adelaide $3.60
- Line: Brisbane -21.5 ($1.91), Adelaide +21.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 188.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Brisbane at $1.30 and Adelaide at $3.60.
The Lions are listed as 21.5-point favourites against the Crows, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Crows (+21.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 188.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Lions (-21.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 188.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Brisbane vs Adelaide: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Brisbane at $1.30 with Bet365
- Line: Brisbane -21.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 188.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Brisbane vs Adelaide betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and wagering expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Brisbane vs Adelaide: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Brisbane vs Adelaide at The Gabba this Saturday is Brisbane winning 104-82.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Brisbane vs Adelaide match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Brisbane vs Adelaide match.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Brisbane vs Adelaide: Essential Details
The AFL Semi-Final clash between the Lions and Crows at The Gabba is scheduled to commence at 7:35pm AEST on Saturday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Brisbane vs Adelaide predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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