Brisbane vs Adelaide Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 7, 2026
Last updated: Apr 26, 2026, 5:16AM | Published: Apr 19, 2026, 10:26AM
Brisbane will sqaure off with Adelaide in AFL Round 7 action at The Gabba on Sunday, commencing at 3:15pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Brisbane vs Adelaide game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Brisbane vs Adelaide AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Lions a 77% chance of defeating the Crows in Round 7 of the 2026 AFL season.
Brisbane vs Adelaide: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at The Gabba are shown below:
- Head to Head: Brisbane $1.23, Adelaide $4.20
- Line: Brisbane -25.5 ($1.91), Adelaide +25.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 189.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Brisbane at $1.23 and Adelaide at $4.20.
The Lions are listed as 25.5-point favourites against the Crows, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Crows (+25.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 189.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Crows (+25.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 189.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 54% of the time.
Brisbane vs Adelaide: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Adelaide at $4.20 with Bet365
- Line: Adelaide +25.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 189.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's Brisbane vs Adelaide best bets are based on world-class modelling and wagering intelligence to bring you the best possible advice 24/7/365.
While the Lions have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Crows to win is our recommended option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable in the long run.
Brisbane vs Adelaide: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Brisbane vs Adelaide at The Gabba on Sunday is Brisbane winning 105-81.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Brisbane vs Adelaide match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and live updatestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Brisbane vs Adelaide game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Brisbane vs Adelaide: Essential Details
The AFL Round 7 clash between the Lions and Crows at The Gabba is scheduled to begin at 3:15pm AEST on Sunday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Brisbane vs Adelaide predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on the AFL
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, predictions for every AFL game, and futures probabilities for the AFL.
