Braves vs Pirates Prediction and MLB Tips - 29 September 2025
Last updated: Sep 28, 2025, 7:15PM | Published: Sep 27, 2025, 8:30PM
The Atlanta Braves will sqaure off with the Pittsburgh Pirates in Game 195 of the National League Division Series at Truist Park on Monday, commencing at 5:15am AEST.
Charlie Morton (9-11, 5.89 ERA) will be on the bump for the Braves, up against Johan Oviedo (2-0, 3.57 ERA) for the Pirates.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Braves vs Pirates game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Atlanta vs Pittsburgh MLB game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Braves a 64% chance of defeating the Pirates at Truist Park.
Braves vs Pirates: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Monday's MLB game at Truist Park are listed here:
- Head to Head: Braves $1.50, Pirates $2.65
- Line: Braves -1.5 ($2.07), Pirates +1.5 ($1.77)
- Total (Over/Under 7.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Braves at $1.50 and the Pirates at $2.65.
The Braves are 1.5-run favourites against the Pirates, with odds of $2.07 available at TAB.
For the underdog Pirates (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.77.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Pirates (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 7.5-run over/under is expected to go over 59% of the time.
Braves vs Pirates: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Pittsburgh at $2.65 with TAB
- Line: Pirates +1.5 at $1.77 with TAB
- Total Runs: Over 7.5 at $1.91 with TAB
Stats Insider's Braves vs Pirates betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and gambling expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Braves have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Pirates to win is our preferred option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a bettor.
Braves vs Pirates: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Atlanta vs Pittsburgh game on Monday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Atlanta vs Pittsburgh game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Braves vs Pirates: Essential Details
The match-up between the Braves and Pirates at Truist Park is scheduled to start at 5:15am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates
- Date: Monday 29 September 2025
- Time: 5:15am AEST
- Venue: Truist Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Atlanta vs Pittsburgh predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on MLB
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, tips for every MLB game, and futures odds for the MLB.
