Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction and MLB Tips - 26 September 2025
Last updated: Sep 25, 2025, 11:05PM | Published: Sep 24, 2025, 7:29PM
The Toronto Blue Jays will take on the Boston Red Sox in Game 1 of the American League Division Series at Rogers Centre on Friday, commencing at 9:07am AEST.
The Blue Jays will send Louis Varland (4-3, 3.10 ERA) to the mound, while the Red Sox are going with Brayan Bello (11-8, 3.34 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Blue Jays vs Red Sox game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Toronto vs Boston MLB game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Blue Jays a 55% chance of beating the Red Sox at Rogers Centre.
Blue Jays vs Red Sox: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Friday's MLB game at Rogers Centre are shown below:
- Head to Head: Blue Jays $1.71, Red Sox $2.20
- Line: Blue Jays -1.5 ($2.50), Red Sox +1.5 ($1.56)
- Total (Over/Under 8 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Blue Jays at $1.71 and the Red Sox at $2.20.
The Blue Jays are 1.5-run favourites against the Red Sox, with odds of $2.50 available at TAB.
For the underdog Red Sox (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.56.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Red Sox (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 63% of the time, while the 8-run over/under is expected to go over 58% of the time.
Blue Jays vs Red Sox: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Boston at $2.20 with TAB
- Line: Red Sox +1.5 at $1.56 with TAB
- Total Runs: Over 8 at $1.91 with TAB
Today's Blue Jays vs Red Sox best bets are based on complex modelling and gambling experience to bring you the best possible advice 24/7/365.
While the Blue Jays have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Red Sox to win is our preferred option due to the 1.5% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.
Blue Jays vs Red Sox: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Toronto vs Boston game on Friday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the Toronto vs Boston game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Blue Jays vs Red Sox: Essential Details
The game between the Blue Jays and Red Sox at Rogers Centre is scheduled to begin at 9:07am AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox
- Date: Friday 26 September 2025
- Time: 9:07am AEST
- Venue: Rogers Centre
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Toronto vs Boston predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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