Blue Jays vs Astros Prediction and MLB Tips - 11 September 2025
Last updated: Sep 10, 2025, 11:09PM | Published: Sep 10, 2025, 3:28AM
The Toronto Blue Jays will face the Houston Astros in MLB action at Rogers Centre on Thursday, starting at 9:07am AEST.
The Blue Jays will have José Berríos (9-5, 4.02 ERA) start, pitting him against Jason Alexander (4-1, 4.68 ERA) for the Astros.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Blue Jays vs Astros game, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Toronto vs Houston MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Blue Jays a 56% chance of defeating the Astros at Rogers Centre.
Blue Jays vs Astros: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at Rogers Centre are listed below:
- Head to Head: Blue Jays $1.65, Astros $2.30
- Line: Blue Jays -1.5 ($2.35), Astros +1.5 ($1.62)
- Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Blue Jays at $1.65 and the Astros at $2.30.
The Blue Jays are 1.5-run favourites against the Astros, with odds of $2.35 available at TAB.
For the underdog Astros (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.62.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Astros (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 61% of the time, while the 8.5-run over/under is expected to go over 54% of the time.
Blue Jays vs Astros: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Houston at $2.30 with TAB
- Line: Astros +1.5 at $1.62 with TAB
- Total Runs: Over 8.5 at $1.91 with TAB
These Blue Jays vs Astros best bets are based on detailed simulations and wagering expertise to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Blue Jays have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Astros to win is our preferred option because of the 2.5% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.
Blue Jays vs Astros: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Toronto vs Houston game on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Toronto vs Houston game.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Blue Jays vs Astros: Essential Details
The match-up between the Blue Jays and Astros at Rogers Centre is scheduled to commence at 9:07am AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Toronto Blue Jays vs Houston Astros
- Date: Thursday 11 September 2025
- Time: 9:07am AEST
- Venue: Rogers Centre
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Toronto vs Houston predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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