Bills vs Dolphins Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 3, 2025
Last updated: Sep 19, 2025, 12:14AM | Published: Sep 17, 2025, 8:23PM
The Buffalo Bills will face the Miami Dolphins in NFL Week 3 action at Highmark Stadium on Friday, commencing at 10:15am AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Bills vs Dolphins game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Buffalo vs Miami NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Bills an 83% chance of beating the Dolphins in Week 3 of the NFL season.
Bills vs Dolphins: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Friday's NFL game at Highmark Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Bills $1.12, Dolphins $6.50
- Line: Bills -11 ($1.91), Dolphins +11 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 50.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Bills at $1.12 and the Dolphins at $6.50.
The Bills are 11-point favourites against the Dolphins, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Dolphins (+11) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 50.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Bills (-11) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 50.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Bills vs Dolphins: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Miami at $6.50 with Bet365
- Line: Bills -11 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 50.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's Bills vs Dolphins best bets are based on world-class modelling and gambling expertise to give you the best possible advice every time.
While the Bills have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Dolphins to win is our preferred option because of the 1.5% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.
Bills vs Dolphins: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Bills vs Dolphins at Highmark Stadium in Week 3 is the Bills winning 30-19.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Buffalo vs Miami game in Week 3, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Bills vs Dolphins: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Bills vs Dolphins? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Buffalo's James Cook is the most likely player to score the first TD in Bills vs Dolphins.
Cook has a 14.1% chance of getting in for six first at Highmark Stadium, while the Bills RB has a 58.8% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.
Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Bills First TD Tips
- James Cook: 14.1% probability
- Josh Allen: 12.2% probability
- Keon Coleman: 6.0% probability
- Khalil Shakir: 4.5% probability
- Joshua Palmer: 4.2% probability
Dolphins First TD Tips
- De'Von Achane: 11.2% probability
- Tyreek Hill: 6.5% probability
- Jaylen Waddle: 4.4% probability
- Malik Washington: 3.0% probability
- Ollie Gordon: 2.6% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Bills Anytime TD Tips
- James Cook: 58.8% probability
- Josh Allen: 53.7% probability
- Keon Coleman: 31.6% probability
- Khalil Shakir: 24.7% probability
- Joshua Palmer: 23.5% probability
Dolphins Anytime TD Tips
- De'Von Achane: 51.0% probability
- Tyreek Hill: 34.1% probability
- Jaylen Waddle: 24.7% probability
- Malik Washington: 17.5% probability
- Ollie Gordon: 15.4% probability
Bills-Dolphins Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bills' Josh Allen is projected for 243 passing yards. The Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa is expected to throw for 248 yards.
Bills Starting QB
- Josh Allen: 243 projected passing yards
Dolphins Starting QB
- Tua Tagovailoa: 248 projected passing yards
Bills Rushing Yards
- James Cook: 75 projected yards
- Josh Allen: 32 projected yards
- Ray Davis: 26 projected yards
Dolphins Rushing Yards
- De'Von Achane: 59 projected yards
- Jaylen Wright: 23 projected yards
- Ollie Gordon: 19 projected yards
Bills Receiving Yards
- Keon Coleman: 50 projected yards
- Khalil Shakir: 49 projected yards
- Joshua Palmer: 41 projected yards
- Dalton Kincaid: 38 projected yards
- Dawson Knox: 20 projected yards
Dolphins Receiving Yards
- Tyreek Hill: 70 projected yards
- Jaylen Waddle: 54 projected yards
- De'Von Achane: 43 projected yards
- Malik Washington: 31 projected yards
- Tanner Conner: 18 projected yards
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Buffalo vs Miami game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Bills vs Dolphins: Week 3 Essential Details
The NFL Week 3 game between the Bills and Dolphins at Highmark Stadium is scheduled to commence at 10:15am AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins
- Date: Friday 19 September 2025
- Time: 10:15am AEST
- Venue: Highmark Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Buffalo vs Miami predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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