Bills vs Chiefs Prediction and Preview - NFL Divisional Round 2024

Last updated: Jan 21, 2024, 11:41PM | Published: Jan 16, 2024, 7:30AM

The Buffalo Bills will sqaure off with the Kansas City Chiefs in the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs at Highmark Stadium on Monday, commencing at 10:30am AEDT.

Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Bills vs Chiefs game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are detailed in this article.

Who Will Win: Bills vs Chiefs

Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Buffalo-Kansas City NFL game 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Bills a 59% chance of beating the Chiefs at Highmark Stadium.

More: Bills vs Chiefs Match Centre

Bills vs Chiefs: Odds

The current Betfair betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Highmark Stadium are listed below:

Head to Head: Bills $1.72, Chiefs $2.38
Line: Bills -2.5 ($1.95), Chiefs +2.5 ($2.04)
Total (Over/Under 45.5 Points): Over $1.98, Under $2.02

Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Bills at $1.72 and the Chiefs at $2.38.

The Bills are 2.5-point favourites against the Chiefs, with odds of $1.95 currently available at Betfair.

For the underdog Chiefs (+2.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.04.

The Over/Under for total points scored has been set at 45.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.98 and odds for the Under at $2.02.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Bills and the Chiefs have a 50% chance of covering the line.

The Over/Under total of 45.5 points has a 55% chance of staying Under.

The best site to place a bet on the Bills vs Chiefs game is Betfair, where you are able to bet against other NFL fans instead of using a traditional bookmaker.

More: Super Bowl 2024 Probabilities and Odds

Bills vs Chiefs: Betting Tips

Head to Head: Buffalo at $1.72 with Betfair (59% probability)
Line: Chiefs +2.5 at $2.04 with Betfair (50% probability)
Total Points: Under 45.5 at $2.02 with Betfair (55% probability) 🔥

Every time you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Stats Insider's best tips for today across any sport.

These Bills vs Chiefs betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and betting experience to provide you with the best possible advice every time.

What could be better than using one of the world's leading predictive analytics models to bet on the NFL? Now, with this useful information, you can also bet on something not to happen.

Before you begin, explore our comprehensive guide to lay betting on Betfair in Australia for expert tips and insights.

Bills vs Chiefs: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Bills vs Chiefs at Highmark Stadium on Monday has the Bills winning 23-21.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider has full coverage of Buffalo vs Kansas City on Monday, including pre-game predictions, top betting tips, and live win probabilities.

Bills vs Chiefs: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Bills vs Chiefs? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Buffalo's Josh Allen is the most likely player to score the first TD in Bills vs Chiefs.

Allen has a 19.7% chance of scoring the first TD at Highmark Stadium, while the Bills QB has a 68.0% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Bills First TD Tips

Josh Allen: 19.7% probability
James Cook: 12.3% probability
Stefon Diggs: 8.0% probability
Dalton Kincaid: 4.4% probability
Dawson Knox: 2.3% probability

Chiefs First TD Tips

Isiah Pacheco: 13.5% probability
Travis Kelce: 8.5% probability
Rashee Rice: 8.5% probability
Mecole Hardman: 4.9% probability
Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 4.3% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Bills Anytime TD Tips

Josh Allen: 68.0% probability
James Cook: 49.7% probability
Stefon Diggs: 35.7% probability
Dalton Kincaid: 21.0% probability
Dawson Knox: 11.3% probability

Chiefs Anytime TD Tips

Isiah Pacheco: 53.5% probability
Travis Kelce: 38.4% probability
Rashee Rice: 38.1% probability
Mecole Hardman: 22.8% probability
Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 20.6% probability

Bills-Chiefs Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bills' Josh Allen is projected for 226 passing yards, while the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is expected to throw for a whopping 312 yards.

Bills Starting QB

Josh Allen: 226 projected passing yards

Chiefs Starting QB

Patrick Mahomes: 312 projected passing yards

Bills Rushing Yards

James Cook: 82 projected yards
Josh Allen: 49 projected yards
Ty Johnson: 21 projected yards

Chiefs Rushing Yards

Isiah Pacheco: 79 projected yards
Patrick Mahomes: 16 projected yards
Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 15 projected yards

Bills Receiving Yards

Stefon Diggs: 78 projected yards
Dalton Kincaid: 49 projected yards
Khalil Shakir: 48 projected yards
James Cook: 24 projected yards
Trent Sherfield: 15 projected yards

Chiefs Receiving Yards

Rashee Rice: 74 projected yards
Travis Kelce: 67 projected yards
Isiah Pacheco: 22 projected yards
Mecole Hardman: 19 projected yards
Noah Gray: 19 projected yards

Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Buffalo vs Kansas City match-up at Highmark Stadium.

As always, check out our Best Bets to get the best tips on every NFL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Bills vs Chiefs: Preview

The match-up between the Bills and Chiefs at Highmark Stadium is scheduled to begin at 10:30am AEDT on Monday.

Teams: Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs
Playoff Round: NFL Divisional Round
Date: Monday 22 January 2024
Time: 10:30am AEDT
Venue: Highmark Stadium

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.

Our Buffalo vs Kansas City predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.