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Bears vs Steelers Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 12, 2025

The Chicago Bears will take on the Pittsburgh Steelers in NFL Week 12 action at Soldier Field on Monday, commencing at 5:00am AEDT.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Bears vs Steelers game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Chicago vs Pittsburgh NFL game 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Bears a 60% chance of winning against the Steelers at Soldier Field.

Bears vs Steelers: Odds

The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Soldier Field are shown here:

  • Head to Head: Bears $1.71, Steelers $2.20
  • Line: Bears -2.5 ($1.91), Steelers +2.5 ($1.91)
  • Total (Over/Under 46 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Bears at $1.71 and the Steelers at $2.20.

The Bears are 2.5-point favourites against the Steelers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the underdog Steelers (+2.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 46 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Bears and the Steelers have a 50% chance of covering the line.

The 46-point over/under is expected to stay under 54% of the time.

Bears vs Steelers: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Chicago at $1.71 with Bet365
  • Line: Steelers +2.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
  • Total Points: Under 46 at $1.91 with Bet365

These Bears vs Steelers best bets are based on complex simulations and betting expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.

Bears vs Steelers: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Bears vs Steelers at Soldier Field in Week 12 is the Bears winning 23-21.

This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Chicago vs Pittsburgh game in Week 12, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.

For in-depth analysis from US experts,, check out Dimers' detailed Bears vs Steelers prediction.

18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Bears vs Steelers: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score the first touchdown in Bears vs Steelers? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Chicago's D'Andre Swift is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Bears vs Steelers.

Swift has a 10.0% chance of scoring the first TD at Soldier Field, while the Bears RB has a 41.2% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Bears First TD Tips

  • D'Andre Swift: 10.0% probability
  • Rome Odunze: 7.7% probability
  • Kyle Monangai: 6.6% probability
  • DJ Moore: 5.1% probability
  • Colston Loveland: 4.5% probability

Steelers First TD Tips

  • Jaylen Warren: 8.4% probability
  • DK Metcalf: 7.3% probability
  • Kenneth Gainwell: 5.9% probability
  • Darnell Washington: 3.9% probability
  • Jonnu Smith: 3.9% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Bears Anytime TD Tips

  • D'Andre Swift: 41.2% probability
  • Rome Odunze: 33.7% probability
  • Kyle Monangai: 29.7% probability
  • DJ Moore: 23.5% probability
  • Colston Loveland: 21.2% probability

Steelers Anytime TD Tips

  • Jaylen Warren: 40.5% probability
  • DK Metcalf: 36.3% probability
  • Kenneth Gainwell: 30.7% probability
  • Darnell Washington: 21.4% probability
  • Jonnu Smith: 21.2% probability

Bears-Steelers Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bears' Caleb Williams is projected for 228 passing yards. The Steelers' Aaron Rodgers is expected to throw for 206 yards.

Bears Starting QB

  • Caleb Williams: 228 projected passing yards

Steelers Starting QB

  • Aaron Rodgers: 206 projected passing yards

Bears Rushing Yards

  • D'Andre Swift: 61 projected yards
  • Kyle Monangai: 36 projected yards
  • Caleb Williams: 24 projected yards

Steelers Rushing Yards

  • Jaylen Warren: 64 projected yards
  • Kenneth Gainwell: 29 projected yards
  • Kaleb Johnson: 9 projected yards

Bears Receiving Yards

  • Rome Odunze: 55 projected yards
  • Luther Burden: 41 projected yards
  • DJ Moore: 39 projected yards
  • Colston Loveland: 33 projected yards
  • Cole Kmet: 19 projected yards

Steelers Receiving Yards

  • DK Metcalf: 53 projected yards
  • Roman Wilson: 29 projected yards
  • Darnell Washington: 24 projected yards
  • Jonnu Smith: 23 projected yards
  • Calvin Austin: 21 projected yards

Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Chicago vs Pittsburgh game.

As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Bears vs Steelers: Week 12 Essential Details

The NFL Week 12 match-up between the Bears and Steelers at Soldier Field is scheduled to commence at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Chicago vs Pittsburgh predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NFL in Australia, with the latest NFL betting news, tips for every NFL game, and Super Bowl odds for the NFL.

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Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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