Bears vs Lions Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 18, 2026
Last updated: Jan 4, 2026, 9:21PM | Published: Dec 30, 2025, 1:51AM
The Chicago Bears will sqaure off with the Detroit Lions in NFL Week 18 action at Soldier Field on Monday, starting at 8:25am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Bears vs Lions game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Chicago vs Detroit NFL game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Bears a 64% chance of beating the Lions in Week 18 of the NFL season.
Bears vs Lions: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Soldier Field are shown here:
- Head to Head: Bears $1.56, Lions $2.50
- Line: Bears -3.5 ($1.91), Lions +3.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 51 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Bears at $1.56 and the Lions at $2.50.
The Bears are listed as 3.5-point favourites against the Lions, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Lions (+3.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 51 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Bears (-3.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 51-point over/under is expected to go over 52% of the time.
Bears vs Lions: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Chicago at $1.56 with Bet365
- Line: Bears -3.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 51 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Bears vs Lions best bets are based on detailed simulations and gambling intelligence to provide you with the best possible advice every time.
Bears vs Lions: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Bears vs Lions at Soldier Field in Week 18 is the Bears winning 27-23.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Chicago vs Detroit game in Week 18, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
For in-depth analysis from US experts,, check out Dimers' detailed Bears vs Lions prediction.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Bears vs Lions: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Bears vs Lions? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Detroit's Jahmyr Gibbs is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Bears vs Lions.
Gibbs has a 13.0% chance of scoring the first TD at Soldier Field, while the Lions RB has a 60.2% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Bears First TD Tips
- D'Andre Swift: 9.4% probability
- Kyle Monangai: 7.9% probability
- DJ Moore: 6.1% probability
- Luther Burden: 5.9% probability
- Colston Loveland: 5.7% probability
Lions First TD Tips
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 13.0% probability
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 8.2% probability
- Jameson Williams: 6.7% probability
- David Montgomery: 6.5% probability
- Isaac TeSlaa: 4.0% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Bears Anytime TD Tips
- D'Andre Swift: 45.3% probability
- Kyle Monangai: 39.7% probability
- DJ Moore: 32.3% probability
- Luther Burden: 31.4% probability
- Colston Loveland: 30.4% probability
Lions Anytime TD Tips
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 60.2% probability
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 43.8% probability
- Jameson Williams: 37.8% probability
- David Montgomery: 36.7% probability
- Isaac TeSlaa: 24.7% probability
Bears-Lions Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bears' Caleb Williams is projected for 236 passing yards, while the Lions' Jared Goff is expected to throw for 253 yards.
Bears Starting QB
- Caleb Williams: 236 projected passing yards
Lions Starting QB
- Jared Goff: 253 projected passing yards
Bears Rushing Yards
- D'Andre Swift: 63 projected yards
- Kyle Monangai: 46 projected yards
- Caleb Williams: 21 projected yards
Lions Rushing Yards
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 66 projected yards
- David Montgomery: 40 projected yards
- Jameson Williams: 5 projected yards
Bears Receiving Yards
- Luther Burden: 61 projected yards
- Colston Loveland: 46 projected yards
- DJ Moore: 42 projected yards
- Olamide Zaccheaus: 32 projected yards
- Cole Kmet: 23 projected yards
Lions Receiving Yards
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 73 projected yards
- Jameson Williams: 65 projected yards
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 33 projected yards
- Isaac TeSlaa: 32 projected yards
- Kalif Raymond: 13 projected yards
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Chicago vs Detroit match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Bears vs Lions: Week 18 Essential Details
The NFL Week 18 match-up between the Bears and Lions at Soldier Field is scheduled to begin at 8:25am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions
- Date: Monday 5 January 2026
- Time: 8:25am AEDT
- Venue: Soldier Field
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Chicago vs Detroit predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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