Bears vs Lions Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 18, 2026
Last updated: Dec 30, 2025, 4:25AM | Published: Dec 30, 2025, 1:51AM
The Chicago Bears will face the Detroit Lions in NFL Week 18 action at Soldier Field on Monday, commencing at 8:25am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Bears vs Lions game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Chicago vs Detroit NFL game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Bears a 58% chance of winning against the Lions at Soldier Field.
Bears vs Lions: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Soldier Field are listed here:
- Head to Head: Bears $1.67, Lions $2.25
- Line: Bears -2.5 ($1.91), Lions +2.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 50.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Bears at $1.67 and the Lions at $2.25.
The Bears are listed as 2.5-point favourites against the Lions, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Lions (+2.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 50.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Bears and the Lions have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 50.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Bears vs Lions: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Detroit at $2.25 with Bet365
- Line: Lions +2.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 50.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Bears vs Lions betting tips are based on complex simulations and gambling intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Bears have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Lions to win is our preferred option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being a profitable bettor in the long run.
Bears vs Lions: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Bears vs Lions at Soldier Field in Week 18 is the Bears winning 25-23.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Chicago vs Detroit game in Week 18, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Bears vs Lions: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Bears vs Lions? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Detroit's Jahmyr Gibbs is the most likely player to score the first TD in Bears vs Lions.
Gibbs has a 15.2% chance of scoring the first TD at Soldier Field, while the Lions RB has a 68.1% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Bears First TD Tips
- D'Andre Swift: 10.1% probability
- Kyle Monangai: 8.8% probability
- DJ Moore: 8.2% probability
- Colston Loveland: 5.9% probability
- Caleb Williams: 4.4% probability
Lions First TD Tips
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 15.2% probability
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 9.3% probability
- David Montgomery: 6.7% probability
- Jameson Williams: 6.3% probability
- Isaac TeSlaa: 2.7% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Bears Anytime TD Tips
- D'Andre Swift: 40.5% probability
- Kyle Monangai: 36.4% probability
- DJ Moore: 34.3% probability
- Colston Loveland: 26.3% probability
- Caleb Williams: 20.2% probability
Lions Anytime TD Tips
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 68.1% probability
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 50.3% probability
- David Montgomery: 39.5% probability
- Jameson Williams: 37.6% probability
- Isaac TeSlaa: 18.3% probability
Bears-Lions Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bears' Caleb Williams is projected for 218 passing yards, while the Lions' Jared Goff is expected to throw for 229 yards.
Bears Starting QB
- Caleb Williams: 218 projected passing yards
Lions Starting QB
- Jared Goff: 229 projected passing yards
Bears Rushing Yards
- D'Andre Swift: 57 projected yards
- Kyle Monangai: 45 projected yards
- Caleb Williams: 24 projected yards
Lions Rushing Yards
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 75 projected yards
- David Montgomery: 37 projected yards
- Jared Goff: 5 projected yards
Bears Receiving Yards
- DJ Moore: 49 projected yards
- Luther Burden: 42 projected yards
- Colston Loveland: 37 projected yards
- Cole Kmet: 19 projected yards
- D'Andre Swift: 15 projected yards
Lions Receiving Yards
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 74 projected yards
- Jameson Williams: 56 projected yards
- Jahmyr Gibbs: 30 projected yards
- Isaac TeSlaa: 16 projected yards
- Kalif Raymond: 15 projected yards
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Chicago vs Detroit game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Bears vs Lions: Week 18 Essential Details
The NFL Week 18 game between the Bears and Lions at Soldier Field is scheduled to begin at 8:25am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions
- Date: Monday 5 January 2026
- Time: 8:25am AEDT
- Venue: Soldier Field
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Chicago vs Detroit predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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