Bears vs Jets Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 4, 2026
Last updated: Sep 29, 2026, 10:51PM | Published: Sep 27, 2026, 4:05AM
The Chicago Bears will take on the New York Jets in NFL Week 4 action at Soldier Field on Monday, starting at 4:00am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Bears vs Jets game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Chicago vs NY Jets NFL game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Bears a 61% chance of defeating the Jets in Week 4 of the NFL season.
Bears vs Jets: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Soldier Field are shown below:
- Head to Head: Bears $1.59, Jets $2.45
- Line: Bears -3.5 ($1.91), Jets +3.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 42.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Bears at $1.59 and the Jets at $2.45.
The Bears are 3.5-point favourites against the Jets, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Jets (+3.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 42.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Jets (+3.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 42.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.
Bears vs Jets: Best Bets
- Head to Head: NY Jets at $2.45 with Bet365
- Line: Jets +3.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 42.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Bears vs Jets predictions are based on detailed simulations and betting experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Bears have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Jets to win is our preferred option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to being a profitable bettor in the long run.
Bears vs Jets: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Bears vs Jets at Soldier Field in Week 4 is the Bears prevailing 22-19.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Chicago vs NY Jets game in Week 4, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Bears vs Jets: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Bears vs Jets? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Chicago's D'Andre Swift is the most likely player to score the first TD in Bears vs Jets.
Swift has a 16.4% chance of scoring the first TD at Soldier Field, while the Bears RB has a 58.2% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Bears First TD Tips
- D'Andre Swift: 16.4% probability
- Colston Loveland: 7.3% probability
- Luther Burden: 5.2% probability
- Kalif Raymond: 5.2% probability
- Rome Odunze: 4.5% probability
Jets First TD Tips
- Braelon Allen: 13.3% probability
- Garrett Wilson: 10.6% probability
- Isaiah Davis: 5.9% probability
- Kenyon Sadiq: 5.3% probability
- Adonai Mitchell: 2.8% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Bears Anytime TD Tips
- D'Andre Swift: 58.2% probability
- Colston Loveland: 32.1% probability
- Luther Burden: 24.2% probability
- Kalif Raymond: 24.1% probability
- Rome Odunze: 21.2% probability
Jets Anytime TD Tips
- Braelon Allen: 48.2% probability
- Garrett Wilson: 40.6% probability
- Isaiah Davis: 25.2% probability
- Kenyon Sadiq: 23.1% probability
- Adonai Mitchell: 13.1% probability
Bears-Jets Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bears' Case Keenum is projected for 181 passing yards. The Jets' Geno Smith is expected to throw for 209 yards.
Bears Starting QB
- Case Keenum: 181 projected passing yards
Jets Starting QB
- Geno Smith: 209 projected passing yards
Bears Rushing Yards
- D'Andre Swift: 80 projected yards
- Kyle Monangai: 54 projected yards
- Case Keenum: 7 projected yards
Jets Rushing Yards
- Braelon Allen: 57 projected yards
- Isaiah Davis: 22 projected yards
- Geno Smith: 13 projected yards
Bears Receiving Yards
- Luther Burden: 42 projected yards
- Rome Odunze: 35 projected yards
- Colston Loveland: 34 projected yards
- Kalif Raymond: 33 projected yards
- D'Andre Swift: 13 projected yards
Jets Receiving Yards
- Garrett Wilson: 68 projected yards
- Adonai Mitchell: 43 projected yards
- Kenyon Sadiq: 30 projected yards
- Isaiah Williams: 20 projected yards
- Braelon Allen: 11 projected yards
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the Chicago vs NY Jets match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Bears vs Jets: Week 4 Essential Details
The NFL Week 4 match-up between the Bears and Jets at Soldier Field is scheduled to begin at 4:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Chicago Bears vs New York Jets
- Date: Monday 5 October 2026
- Time: 4:00am AEDT
- Venue: Soldier Field
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Chicago vs NY Jets predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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