Astros vs Orioles Prediction and MLB Tips - 21 September 2023
Last updated: Sep 20, 2023, 6:09PM | Published: Sep 20, 2023, 12:50AM
The Houston Astros face the Baltimore Orioles in MLB action at Minute Maid Park on Thursday, beginning at 4:10am AEST.
The Astros will have Cristian Javier (9-4, 4.74 ERA) start, while the Orioles will counter with Kyle Bradish (11-7, 3.12 ERA).
Stats Insider's top betting tips for Astros vs Orioles, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia, are featured below.
Who Will Win: Astros vs Orioles
Using high-tech computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Thursday's Houston-Baltimore MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Orioles a 51% chance of defeating the Astros at Minute Maid Park.
More: Astros vs Orioles Match Centre
Astros vs Orioles: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at Minute Maid Park are listed below:
- Head to Head: Astros $2.00, Orioles $1.83
- Line: Astros +1.5 ($1.59), Orioles -1.5 ($2.40)
- Total (Over/Under 9 Runs): Over $1.83, Under $2.00
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, PointsBet currently has the Astros at $2.00 and the Orioles at $1.83.
The Astros are listed as 1.5-run underdogs against the Orioles, with odds of $1.59 currently on offer at PointsBet.
For the favourite Orioles (-1.5) to cover the line, PointsBet currently has odds of $2.40.
The Over/Under for Astros vs Orioles is set at 9 with PointsBet, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.83 and odds for the Under at $2.00.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Astros (+1.5) have a 60% chance of covering the line, while the 9-run Over/Under has a 54% chance of going Over.
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More: Live Win Probabilities for All Sports
Astros vs Orioles: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Houston at $2.00 with PointsBet
- Line: Orioles -1.5 at $2.40 with PointsBet
- Total Runs: Over 9 at $1.83 with PointsBet (54% probability)
Stats Insider's Astros vs Orioles best bets are based on detailed simulations and wagering expertise to provide you with the best possible advice 24/7/365.
We recommend betting on this Astros vs Orioles match at PointsBet, where you can use our cutting-edge predictions to bet on MLB and more. Create a PointsBet account today!
And while the Orioles have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Astros to win is our recommended option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to being a profitable punter in the long run.
Even though the Astros are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Orioles -1.5 is based on the probability of that happening, as projected by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.
Astros vs Orioles: Prediction
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Houston vs Baltimore on Thursday, including pre-game predictions, free betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Houston vs Baltimore game at Minute Maid Park.
As always, check out our Best Bets for betting tips for every MLB game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Astros vs Orioles: Preview
The match-up between the Astros and Orioles at Minute Maid Park is scheduled to start at 4:10am AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles
- Date: Thursday 21 September 2023
- Time: 4:10am AEST
- Venue: Minute Maid Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for Houston vs Baltimore are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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