Astros vs Cubs: Prediction and MLB Tips - 18 May 2023
May 17, 2023, 12:16AM
The Houston Astros square off with the Chicago Cubs in MLB action at Minute Maid Park on Thursday, commencing at 10:10am AEST.
The Astros will send J.P. France (1-0, 0.77 ERA) to the mound, up against Drew Smyly (4-1, 3.04 ERA) for the Cubs.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for Astros vs Cubs, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia, are featured below.
Who Will Win: Astros vs Cubs
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Thursday's Houston-CHI Cubs MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Astros a 59% chance of beating the Cubs at Minute Maid Park.
More: Astros vs Cubs Simulated 10,000 Times
Astros vs Cubs: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at Minute Maid Park are listed here:
- Head to Head: Astros $1.59, Cubs $2.50
- Line: Astros -1.5 ($2.20), Cubs +1.5 ($1.71)
- Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.95, Under $1.87
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Astros to win at $1.59 and the Cubs to win at $2.50.
The Astros are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Cubs, with odds of $2.20 currently available at bet365.
For the underdog Cubs (+1.5) to cover the line, bet365 currently has odds of $1.71.
The Over/Under for total runs scored sits at 8.5 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.95 and odds for the Under at $1.87.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Cubs (+1.5) have a 59% chance of covering the line, while the 8.5-run Over/Under has a 51% chance of staying Under.
More: Today's Best Bets for All Sports
Astros vs Cubs: Best Bets
- Head to Head: CHI Cubs at $2.50 with bet365 (2.2% edge)
- Line: Cubs +1.5 at $1.71 with bet365 (59% probability)
- Total Runs: Over 8.5 at $1.95 with bet365
These Astros vs Cubs best bets are based on detailed simulations and betting expertise to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Astros have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Cubs to win is our recommended option due to the 2.2% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the bet365 odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.
Furthermore, despite the Under being more likely to hit in this game, Over 8.5 is our best bet due to the better odds ($1.95) that are available from bet365.
Astros vs Cubs: Prediction
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Houston vs CHI Cubs on Thursday, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Houston vs CHI Cubs game at Minute Maid Park.
As always, check out our Best Bets for the best tips on every MLB game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Astros vs Cubs: Preview
The game between the Astros and Cubs at Minute Maid Park is scheduled to start at 10:10am AEST on Thursday.
- Game: Houston Astros vs Chicago Cubs
- Date: Thursday 18 May 2023
- Time: 10:10am AEST
- Venue: Minute Maid Park
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for Houston vs CHI Cubs are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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