Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Prediction - US Open 2026
Last updated: Sep 9, 2026, 5:02PM | Published: Sep 9, 2026, 1:47PM
Aryna Sabalenka will take on Jessica Pegula in the semi-finals of the US Open Women's Singles 2026 on Friday.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Sabalenka vs Pegula match, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Sabalenka-Pegula women's singles match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives Sabalenka a 60% chance of defeating Pegula in the US Open Women's Singles 2026.
Sabalenka vs Pegula: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Friday's US Open 2026 match between Sabalenka and Pegula are listed here:
- Head to Head: Sabalenka $1.53, Pegula $2.50
- First Set: Sabalenka $1.61, Pegula $2.30
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Sabalenka at $1.53 and Pegula at $2.50.
TAB currently has odds for Sabalenka to win the first set at $1.61 and odds for Pegula to win the first set at $2.30.
Sabalenka vs Pegula: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Pegula at $2.50 with TAB
- First Set: Pegula at $1.80 with TAB (52% probability)
Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula predictions are based on market-leading simulations and betting intelligence to bring you the best possible advice every day of the year.
Although our predictive analytics model suggests that Sabalenka is more likely to win the match, taking Pegula to win is our preferred option due to the edge we identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable over the long run.
And while Sabalenka is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our recommended bet of Pegula ($1.80) is based on the likelihood of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
Sabalenka vs Pegula: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula match at the US Open 2026 tournament, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the Sabalenka-Pegula match in the US Open Women's Singles 2026.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every tennis match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Sabalenka vs Pegula: US Open 2026 Essential Details
The US Open 2026 match between Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Pegula is scheduled to begin at 9:00am AEST.
- Match: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula
- Date: Friday 11 September 2026
- Approx. Time: 9:00am AEST
- Event: US Open Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Semi-finals
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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