Alexei Popyrin vs Matteo Berrettini Prediction - ATP Italian Open 2026
Last updated: May 6, 2026, 4:01AM | Published: May 4, 2026, 10:53PM
Alexei Popyrin will face Matteo Berrettini in the round of 128 at the 2026 ATP Italian Open tournament on Thursday.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Popyrin vs Berrettini match, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Popyrin-Berrettini men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives Berrettini a 64% chance of beating Popyrin at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Popyrin vs Berrettini: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Thursday's ATP Italian Open match between Popyrin and Berrettini are shown here:
- Head to Head: Popyrin $2.75, Berrettini $1.44
- First Set: Popyrin $2.50, Berrettini $1.53
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Popyrin at $2.75 and Berrettini at $1.44.
TAB currently has odds for Popyrin to win the first set at $2.50 and odds for Berrettini to win the first set at $1.53.
Popyrin vs Berrettini: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Popyrin at $2.75 with TAB
- First Set: Berrettini at $1.90 with TAB (50% probability)
Today's Alexei Popyrin vs Matteo Berrettini best bets are based on world-class simulations and wagering experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Even though our predictive analytics model suggests that Berrettini is more likely to win the match, taking Popyrin to win is the best option because of the edge we discovered when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently available.
Using the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to being a profitable sports bettor over the long run.
And while Berrettini is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our suggested bet of Berrettini ($1.90) is based on the chance of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
Popyrin vs Berrettini: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Alexei Popyrin vs Matteo Berrettini match at the ATP Italian Open tournament, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Popyrin-Berrettini match at the ATP Italian Open event.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips for every tennis match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Popyrin vs Berrettini: ATP Italian Open Essential Details
The 2026 ATP Italian Open match between Alexei Popyrin and Matteo Berrettini is scheduled to commence at 7:00pm AEST.
- Match: Alexei Popyrin vs Matteo Berrettini
- Date: Thursday 7 May 2026
- Approx. Time: 7:00pm AEST
- Event: ATP Rome, Italy Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 128
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Alexei Popyrin vs Matteo Berrettini predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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