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Alexei Popyrin vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction - ATP Italian Open 2025

Alexei Popyrin will take on Daniil Medvedev in the round of 32 at the 2025 ATP Italian Open tournament on Sunday.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Popyrin vs Medvedev match, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Popyrin-Medvedev men's singles match 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives Medvedev a 64% chance of beating Popyrin at the ATP Italian Open tournament.

Popyrin vs Medvedev: Odds

The latest betting odds in Australia for Sunday's ATP Italian Open match between Popyrin and Medvedev are shown below:

  • Head to Head: Popyrin $3.20, Medvedev $1.36
  • First Set: Popyrin $2.62, Medvedev $1.50

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Popyrin at $3.20 and Medvedev at $1.36.

TAB currently has odds for Popyrin to win the first set at $2.62 and odds for Medvedev to win the first set at $1.50.

Popyrin vs Medvedev: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Popyrin at $3.20 with TAB
  • First Set: Medvedev at $1.83 with TAB (51% probability)

When you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Stats Insider's best bets of the day across any sport.

These Alexei Popyrin vs Daniil Medvedev betting tips are based on world-class modelling and wagering intelligence to give you the best possible advice 24/7/365.

Although our predictive analytics model indicates that Medvedev is more likely to win the match, taking Popyrin to win is our preferred option because of the 6.7% edge we found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable over the long run.

And while Medvedev is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our recommended bet of Medvedev ($1.83) is based on the likelihood of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.

Popyrin vs Medvedev: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Alexei Popyrin vs Daniil Medvedev match at the ATP Italian Open tournament, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.

Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Popyrin-Medvedev match at the ATP Italian Open tournament.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every tennis match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Popyrin vs Medvedev: ATP Italian Open Essential Details

The 2025 ATP Italian Open match between Alexei Popyrin and Daniil Medvedev is scheduled to begin at 7:00pm AEST.

  • Match: Alexei Popyrin vs Daniil Medvedev
  • Date: Sunday 11 May 2025
  • Approx. Time: 7:00pm AEST
  • Event: ATP Rome, Italy Men's Singles 2025
  • Round: Round of 32

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Alexei Popyrin vs Daniil Medvedev predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our tennis predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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Stats Insider is your home for betting on tennis in Australia, with the latest tennis betting news, tips for every tennis tournament, and our in-house approach to accurately ranking the world's top 100 men's and women's players.

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Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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